TweetTwenty-one years ago, in a federal election that reshaped the Canadian political landscape, the Liberals swept Edmonton, electing Members of Parliament in four of the city’s six federal ridings. That year was a high-water mark for the federal party, which last elected an MP in Edmonton in 2004 and has not come close to electing . . . → Read More: daveberta.ca – Alberta politics: Federal Liberal Summer Caucus in Edmonton
Overall, Wells’s first rule — that “for any given situation, Canadian politics will tend toward the least exciting possible outcome” — held up. This is the result you might have predicted, and that most of us did predict. Folks in Toronto Centre are used to voting Liberal, and changing habits is hard.
Notwithstanding, each of . . . → Read More: Chris Tindal: Some quick thoughts on Toronto Centre by-election results
Trudeau was so confident in the wake of the Forum poll, that he started waving “Vote PC” signs on the campaign trail.
On the surface, nothing really happened last night. The Liberals held two safe seats and the Conservatives held two safe seats. Yes, they were counting ballots until late night in Brandon, . . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Wheat Kings
Hope and Hard Work has become the oft-repeated Liberal mantra under Justin Trudeau. And it can also be used to describe where the Liberals find themselves after Monday’s by-elections: with a little more hope, and a lot more hard work ahead of them. The hope: with significant gains in vote and margin across the board . . . → Read More: A BCer in Toronto: By-elections give Liberals more hope – and a lot more hard work
Welcome to the 1980s, everybody. Above, Pierre Trudeau, saying just that. Below: Justin Trudeau, embracing victorious Liberal candidate Emmanuel Douburg last night in Montreal’s Bourassa riding. (Montreal Gazette photo.)
“Well, welcome to the 1980s!” He haunts us still.
I don’t know about you, but I could almost hear Pierre Trudeau’s familiar, scratchy, defiant, . . . → Read More: Alberta Diary: He haunts us still: ‘Welcome to the 1980s’
Miscellaneous material for your Monday reading.
– Paul Wells and Dan Lett offer roundups of today’s federal by-elections, while Chantal Hebert offers some advice to the candidates (whether or not they’re elected to Parliament today). And Murray Dobbin explains why there’s only one true progressive choice in Toronto Centre in particular: McQuaig’s Liberal opponent in . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
Consider this a continuation of last blogpost, where I said I’d update the post if Forum came out with 1 last quickie update. I figured it just was better to post the new numbers here:
In brief: Toronto-Centre and Brandon were re-polled today. Bourassa and Provencher were not – their #’s from the prior blog . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Forum Polling Updated (in 2 ridings) for the byelections on Monday
For a minute, let’s forget what partisan side of the fence we’re all on, and turn into poll analysts. Forum Research is the only pollster doing any poll tracking of the four byelections, which are to commence tomorrow. Forum’s probably last poll of the cycle before Monday lists the following findings:
Bourassa: Liberals 43, NDP . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Another Test For Forum Research & Its Polling Methods (in byelections anyhow)
I say that because PM Harper is in Winnipeg this (last) evening at the Jets game. It will be extremely interesting to see whether he pops in to Brandon-Souris tomorrow to personally campaign or not for the local Conservative candidate. The fact a personalized brochure was mailed out from the CPC to the riding voters . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Byelection observations: Keep an eye on Brandon later today.
Worthwhile article from Chantal Hebert here.
She’s not the first to link Harper’s gutting of environmental regulations, skeptical attitude towards climate change and attacks on the environmental movement to other countries (particularly our major trading partner south of the border) reluctance to embrace Canada’s natural resources, but in just two sentences, Hebert does a good . . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: "Stephen Harper’s climate-change record can’t be ignored anymore" – because it’s putting Canadian jobs and our economy at risk
Miscellaneous material for your Monday reading.
– Sean McElwee discusses the crucial distinction between wealth and merit – while recognizing which actually serves to improve the condition of those around a particular individual: Because the wealthy are no longer willing to use their wealth for good, they have decided to glorify the wealth itself as . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
Assorted content for your Sunday reading.
– Chris Dillow discusses how a shredded social safety net may turn into a vicious cycle – as voters are more prepared to cast ballots based on resentment when their own livelihood is less secure: Marko Pitesa and Stefan Thau first manipulated subjects’ perceptions of their income by inviting . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Sunday Morning Links
As I predicted back in September, the Mulcair NDP has wasted no time in demonstrating that the “Love is better than anger” NDP is long gone, as Mulcair candidates in the by-elections (particularly Toronto Centre) have spared no opportunity in launching angry attacks on the third-party Liberals.
Mulcair’s candidate in Toronto . . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: Why not a McQuaig vs. Mulcair debate on natural resource development?
In the latest poll, Liberal candidate Crystia Freeland leads with 46% support, and the NDP candidate Linda McQuaig is second with 35% support.Looking at only those numbers, it seems like the election is a sure thing for the Liberals. However, when we l… . . . → Read More: Driving The Porcelain Bus: Toronto Centre By-election: Could Be A Tight Race With Support For Linda McQuaig, NDP, Rising
In the latest poll, Liberal candidate Crystia Freeland leads with 46% support, and the NDP candidate Linda McQuaig is second with 35% support.
Looking at only those numbers, it seems like the election is a sure thing for the Liberals. However, when we look at the way the numbers are trending, things look much closer.
. . . → Read More: Driving The Porcelain Bus: Toronto Centre By-election: Could Be A Tight Race With Support For Linda McQuaig, NDP, Rising
Assorted content to end your week.
– John Ivison makes the case for more discussion of government spending rather than corruption and scandal. But it’s PressProgress leading the way in actually reporting on that front – featuring revelations that multiple resource-related ministers’ office have received massive spending boosts, while program spending for First Nations, the . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Friday Morning Links
I want to remark on an online/social media phenomenon I’ve seen, (mostly on Twitter) the past couple of days, where NDP activists, particularly ones who are active in the Toronto Centre by-election, are going after Justin Trudeau on his spoken support at a US conference (attended by ex-Australian PM Julia Gillard and former Secretary of . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Some NDP hypocrisy on oil pipelines
Four federal by-elections have been called for Nov. 25th, including in Toronto Centre. While a new poll shows the Liberals comfortably ahead, I think it’s going to be a real battle. And so does NDP candidate Linda McQuaig, judging by the gambit she launched this weekend. McQuaig is challenging Liberal candidate Chrystia Freeland to . . . → Read More: A BCer in Toronto: What would Jack Layton say about Linda McQuaig’s push for a two-person debate?
This and that for your Thursday reading.
– Nadir Khan interviews Linda McQuaig about her choice to run for the NDP in Toronto Centre – and confirms that McQuaig’s commitment to progressive politics fits neatly with her participation in a caucus: NK : You mention that you’ve been outspoken and taken a strong stance on issues . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links
Assorted content for your weekend reading.
– Paul Dechene interviews Maude Barlow about the downside of privatizing public infrastructure: Somebody asked me to point blank explain the difference between private and public and I said, profit. That’s the difference. In a public system, it’s the same amount of money; you’re raising it from taxes or . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
That’s what Pundits’ Guide and David Akin wrote about new Mulcair candidate Linda McQuaig’s approach to politics in their (both very good) summaries of the Toronto Centre nominations.
I was happy to spend the day pulling vote for Chrystia Freeland, who McQuaig wasted no time in attacking. Those who read my blog frequently will . . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: "Willing to bring it … hard", "stoke[ing]…frustration and anger" – What the expect from NDP campaigns in the upcoming by-elections
The NDP and Liberal candidates for Toronto-Centre were voted on last evening. Chrystia Freeland and Linda Mcquaig were elected by their memberships to run for their political parties. Mcquaig’s win was on the first ballot, which surprised me a bit, as my original perception from reading up on this race was that Jennifer Hollett had . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Competition to replace Bob Rae in Toronto-Centre is officially on
A busy day in downtown Toronto on Sunday, as both the Liberals and the NDP picked their candidates to replace Bob Rae as the MP for Toronto-Centre at nomination meetings just a subway stop apart. It made for interesting comparisons, and I attendeed both meetings.
The Storify below shares some of the highlights of . . . → Read More: A BCer in Toronto: Liberals and NDP pick their Toronto-Centre by-election candidates
Congratulations to Linda McQuaig who won the NDP nomination today to be their candidate for the upcoming Toronto-Centre federal riding.