Goodbye Minister of Finance Takhar. Hello Minister Responsible for Seniors Takhar.
You win some, you lose some. Or so I hear.
Regardless, win or lose, we can all take home valuable lessons from the OLP leadership race – and with no fewer than 5 other Liberal leadership races ongoing in Canada, these are rules all Liberals should heed.
1. Play Nice: It likely shouldn’t be a surprise that the majority of the defeated candidates and delegates went to Wynne over Pupatello, considering the latter had spent much of the race belittling them and, just days before the convention, proclaimed “
. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Lessons Learned
As a Kathleen Wynne delegate to the leadership convention, I will probably take some time in trying to articulate the significance of the win and not rush into a blathering post about how freakin’ awesome it all is. (By the way, Adam Goldenberg really nailed the personal aspect in his post for Macleans.) For now, a few thoughts about numbers.
Going into the first ballot, we knew how the delegates would vote because the ballots were pre-printed – you had to support the candidate for whom you ran, obviously, or the first ballot results would not reflect how your
. . . → Read More: Beyond the 140: Ontario Liberal leadership: on the numbers
On Saturday, Maple Leaf Gardens was a cauldron of emotions. There were tears, broken promises, dashed dreams, and shrieks of pure unadulterated joy. That’s to be expected when you bring 2,000 people with very different motivations and beliefs together, and ask them to figure out who will govern a province of over 12 million people.
Yet despite all of that, in the end, what mattered more than the signs and scarves and speeches were the cold hard numbers. So it’s worth pausing to study the math behind Kathleen Wynne’s historic victory:
The First Ballot
The big story of the first
. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Convention Math
After about two hours sleep, I made the trek downtown from Scarborough bright and early Saturday morning to see if I had a shot at being promoted from alternate to voting delegate, and would have the opportunity to casta vote for Gerard Kennedy in the Ontario Liberal leadership race. Alas, I wasn’t on the list, so I could only watch, cheer, persuade, and hope for the best.
Paths to victory Going in, Kennedy was a long-shot, but there was a path to victory for him. It had to happen early, though. The first ballot results were pretty well set (Read more…)
Eric Hoskins | Gerard Kennedy | Sandra Pupatello | Charles Sousa | Harinder Takhar | Kathleen Wynne
Omar Ha-Redeye will be provided coverage of the 2013 Leadership Convention as an accredited blogger.
How Wynne Just Lost My Support Jade Hip Hop Academy Opening Harinder Takhar is No Canadian Obama, but He’s Needed Austerity is the Real Story at the OLP LDR Convention Results of the First Ballot Bill 115 Protests Grow Outside Leadership Convention Why I Joined the Wynne Camp Results of the Second Ballot Interview with Chris Drew (Wynne Camp) Before Third Ballot Interview with Warren Kinsella (Read more…) . . . → Read More: Toronto Lawyer | Omar Ha-Redeye, J.D. » Politics: 2013 Ontario Liberal Party Leadership
The inestimable Jeff Jedras (who is sitting next to me) said Sandra Pupatello sounds a bit like the gal from Fargo, and there is some truth to that in her small-town accent. ”What you see is what you get” seems a key part of her message, and what you see is a big personality with big hair, a little corny at times but with a touch of the Iron Lady in her as well. “I will bring the opposition to their knees,” is a paraphrase of one of her applause lines, and so far its the one this morning
. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Sandra Pupatello Pitch Speech
Pop quiz: who wrote this: “Our government expects – as do health care providers – that this change will exacerbate the health conditions of patients with chronic conditions and those who are at risk of developing such conditions. In addition, … Continue reading →
Offshore wind should be a slam-dunk. After all its offshore, wayout of sight of any protesting NIMBYs. So it is good to know that the two front runners in the OLP leadership race have come out in support of the concept. From a North American Wind Power presser: The good news is that Sandra Pupatello and Kathleen Wynne – two of the front-runners vying to lead Ontario’s Liberal Party – both have expressed support for offshore wind.
It is worth pointing out that these kinds of projects have even less environmental impact than the on-shore variety: Siting . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Pupatello And Wynne Support Offshore Wind
We’re now down to the stretch drive in the OLP leadership sprint, with the following (still unofficial) delegate count after this weekend’s round of voting:
Pupatello 506 Wynne 468 Kennedy 259 Takhar 244 Sousa 204 Hoskins 104 Independent 67
It’s a fractured field, and that becomes even more apparent when you consider no candidate received over 22% of the actual votes cast. It will come down to the convention, at which point delegates will be free to jump any which way after the first ballot. As history has shown, delegated conventions are unpredictable beasts, so it’s anybody’s guess who exits
Didn’t like this bit:Kathleen Wynne is uneasy about the quality of information fuelling the renewable energy debate.
“Where is the evidence and science in making these decisions?” asks Wynne. “I’m not sure there are conclusive arguments on either side of these issues—whether it’s health issues or environmental issues. I want to make sure we are operating on the best evidence possible.”
Actually, the evidence that wind turbines effect Ontario property values is crap; the evidence that their presence has a negative effect on the health of people living close by is crap; and the claim
. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: OLP Candidates On Wind Tubines
It’s been hard to get any kind of quantitative read on how the candidates stack up in the Ontario Liberal Party leadership race to date. Gerard Kennedy may be leading the polls among Ontarians, Sandra Pupatello may be winning the endorsement race, and Kathleen Wynne may have raised more money dough than anyone else, but none of those numbers give us anything more than a hint of how rank and file Liberals will vote at the delegate selection meetings this weekend.
What may provide more insight into how much support the contenders actually have are the number
. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: How They Stand
..your robocall seems a bit glitchy. The soundtrack restarts at about the 7 second mark. Please fix. Otherwise nice. Glad to promote your website.
The Ontario Liberal Party’s leadership race has been largely fought on the ground until now. With such a tight timeline, the campaigns were forced to focus almost exclusively on signing up new members until November 23rd. There have been polls, endorsements, and a few policies rushed out the door, but most of the race has taken place outside of the public eye. Heck, Harinder Takhar didn’t even declare until after the membership deadline. With that deadline passed, today’s debate in … → . . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: The Air War Begins
I support Sandra Pupatello as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party and to be the next Premier of Ontario.
The challenge for an Ontario Liberal with this race is there are so many qualified candidates with a varied set of positions, experiences and attributes. The ultimate tipping point for me — similar to why I’m supporting Justin Trudeau in the federal realm — is that Sandra is a fighter. I want a leader who will not back down from criticism or attacks by the opposition. Sandra’s strong and she’s a winner.
Plus, I think, Sandra being the “non-Toronto” candidate makes
. . . → Read More: The Progressive Right: Sandra Pupatello for Premier #olpldr #onpoli
The first of the Ontario Liberal candidates to respond to the questions I sent off to them/their campaigns has responded; that honour goes to Sandra Pupatello. I was actually sent these answers to me on Saturday, but they sent it to an outdated Progres… . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Sandra Pupatello replies first to my set of questions
So I’ve had four people from four different campaigns ask me to send out the little questionnaire I’ve prepared to their candidate who is running in the Ontario Liberal Party race: that would be Sandra Pupatello’s campaign, Gerard Ken… . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Scorecard Update on Ontario Liberal Party candidates answering questions.
At this point, I like the plain-speaking Sandra Pupatello for the job, and I’m guessing she’s entering the race as the favourite. Should she win, she would, of course, make history as Ontario’s first female premier. I am somewhat perplexed, howev… . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: The Thing With Sandra Pupatello Is:
With the membership cut-off fast approaching, it seems likely we’ll have a good idea of the field of candidates to replace Dalton McGuinty within a few days. This week, Laurel Broten, Brad Duguid, and George Smitherman added their names to the list of those taking a pass, prompting a round of “no one wants this job” headlines.
The reality of the situation is far different. It seems almost certain the race will have between 4-6 viable candidates, with a couple more along for the ride. That’s as competitive as any leadership contest in recent memory, and you can be
. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Your Weekly OLP Leadership Update: Can Kennedy Restore a Liberal Camelot?
While Federal Liberal leadership aspirants are free to subject their candidacy to a year-long striptease before declaring, Ontario Liberals do not have the luxury of time. With the membership cut-off in just four weeks, there’s little time to play coy.
Yasir Naqvi mulled it over for a few days before deciding to bide his time for a future bid. This week, Dwight Duncan and Chris Bentley both announced they would not be candidates for the leadership – or the next election. Both decisions are understandable given the amount of time these men have spent in politics, and the baggage they
. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: OLP Leadership Update
Sixteen years ago, Dalton McGuinty won the Ontario Liberal leadership race at 4:30 am, after 5 rounds of voting. Always one to defy expectations, McGuinty worked his way up from 4th place over the course of 9 hours in what was truly one of the wildest leadership conventions in Canadian history.
Although it’s almost impossible to read a leadership race’s ultrasound just a few days after conception,the early snapshot points to another unpredictable contest.
While many high profile names have shied away from the federal Liberal race, the OLP offers a more attractive prize and a higher probability of success.
. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: After 16 Years of McGuinty, What’s Next for OLP?