mark a rayner: William Shatner’s Inaugural Address

(After Winning the First Post-Two-Party Presidential Election) Friends, Americans, Countrymen! Lend me your ears. I come to bury our two-party system, not praise it. I stand before you today, not as a conqueror, not as pop icon, but as your President. An American president. Now, what I say next is not said with malice, but ...

Left Over: Should We Pillory Hillary?

Hillary Clinton must reject the stigma that abortion should be legal but ‘rare’ Agreeing with anti-choice activists on even that single word hurts women and the cause of reproductive rights Jessica Valenti theguardian.com, Wednesday 9 July 2014   Although this article  is referring to our  neighbors to the South and the possible next Prez,  and although ...

CuriosityCat: Kudos to Tabatha Southey on her Serengeti-prism for viewing Obama’s success

Republican voters? Commentators are diving into the gizzards of the election statistics to find out why Mitt Romney was so soundly trounced in a year when all odds (if you exclude the sheer determination of his opponent) were in favour of his becoming president in 2013. I rather like the prism chosen by Tabatha Southey ...

CuriosityCat: Mitt Romney’s three miscalculations

Polls never lie, eh? Seems they can make you see things that aren’t there, as the Romney team did big time: They made three key miscalculations, in part because this race bucked historical trends: 1. They misread turnout. They expected it to be between 2004 and 2008 levels, with a plus-2 or plus-3 Democratic electorate, ...

CuriosityCat: Obama’s victory in pictures

Courtesy of Edison Research, here’s a simple way to analyse the Obama 2012 victory – as they say, a picture is worth a thousand words … The empathy gap: Romney lost the empathy battle big time. The Gender Battle: The Rainbow Vote:   Young Uns and Old Folks: The Money Gap: The Religious Vote: The ...

CuriosityCat: ‘Tis the midnight hour, and here are the very first results of the presidential election

And the first results of the 2012 presidential election come from the little town of Dixville Notch: As all of you West Wing fans out there will know, a tiny town in northern New Hampshire, Dixville Notch, votes at midnight on voting day in both the primaries and general election. The town’s ~25-odd registered voters ...

CuriosityCat: Presidential election: Trouble brewing in Ohio

Ohio Secretary of Sate Jon Husted Voting day  is not even here and lawsuits are flying thicker than bats in a musty cave. Ohio is the key state – the winner here most  likely will be the next president. And things are taking a very bad turn there right now, as this report explains: A ...

CuriosityCat: The Obama Second Term

Tomorrow the Americans vote for their next president. I expect President Obama to be re-elected, and have a few thoughts about the shape of his second term. President Obama It will be a memorable one. It will be a leap forward out of the deadlocked past four years. One thing we will see is the ...

CuriosityCat: Sandy & FEMA: How Obama can ensure his second term, if he moves fast

The gods of politics abhor predictability and delight in upsetting humans’ applecarts. Just when Mitt Romney was doing so well, along came hurricane Sandy, wreaking devastation on the eastern seabord. Sandy has given President Obama a gift: the opportunity to use FEMA to clearly demonstrate to voters the enormous difference between his policies and those ...

CuriosityCat: Three Reasons why Obama’s Second Term will be a Transformative One

The Great Storyteller Not only America but the rest of the world would benefit from President Obama being voted in for a second term, because that term will be a positive and transformative one for all of us. I am asking you to Tweet and email a link to this post to everyone you know, ...

CuriosityCat: Battleground States: Romney now leads Obama in 11 states

And the winner is ….? Romney now leading in 11 Battleground States, says the Rasmussen survey of those states released on Monday October 22, before the final debate: In the 11 swing states, Mitt Romney earns 49% of the vote to Obama’s 46%.  Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, and four percent ...

CuriosityCat: Political gravestone for President Obama if he loses

The arc of the presidential campaign of 2012 would be a fitting inscription for a political tombstone should President Obama not win re-election. The CNN Poll of Polls as of October 21 2012 clearly shows the massive impact on the trajectories of the two protagonists of the debacle of the first debate: Seldom in American ...

CuriosityCat: Obama & Romney: Who is the "change"candidate this time?

President Obama surged to victory in 2008 riding the twin horses of “hope” and “change”, in the process beating off Hillary Clinton and then The Maverick and his moose-hunting Veep candidate. But right now the mantle of “change” candidate seems to have settled on the shoulders of the Gekko-like shape shifting Republican candidate. Who would ...

CuriosityCat: Debate 3: President Obama’s Last Chance to Channel Moses

Moses: Model for Obama? Alan Schroeder, Journalism Professor at Northeastern U, has an interesting post in Huffington Post entitled The Dramatic Arc of the 2012 Presidential Debates. It is worth reading. Here’s a taste of it: Which brings us to Act Four. A sense of momentous envelops this final debate, because for both participants the ...

CuriosityCat: Presidential Election: The Battle of the Pollsters

Nate Silver – 538 pollster While most Americans are focusing on the battle between Obama and Romney, hardcore political junkies (such as you) are also darting from one poll to another, and one pollster to another. Gallup, the grandfather of polling, has raised hackles amongst some. Nate Silver, a pro-Obama blogger, popular with non-Republicans, thinks ...

CuriosityCat: Debate 2 Obama & Romney: The role of the moderator and questions for CNN

Romney, Crowler, Obama The furor over the intervention by moderator Candy Crowler in the second presidential debate has not died down, nor will it before November 6. The Republicans are claiming that the moderator stepped outside the rules and intervened in the debate in a way that was contrary to the agreed rules.  CNN has ...

CuriosityCat: Debate 2: The Benghazi Question – Was moderator Crowley briefed beforehand?

President Obama in the Rose Garden Lots of airtime about the Libyan attack on America’s consulate, and lots of confusion about whether the Obama administration deliberately avoided linking the attack to terrorists but rather linked it to the video. The Republicans smell a rat and believe the Administration stalled for time, allowing statements to  be ...

CuriosityCat: Presidential race: It all comes down to Ohio

As this mapshows: No wonder so much money is being spent on ads in Ohio.

CuriosityCat: Is Obama writing off Florida, North Carolina and Virginia?

The dust has barely started settling from Debate 2 and the rumour mills are grinding, grinding, grinding … Daily Kos has this comment on a possible abandonment of 57 electoral votes by the Obama team: 1:55 PM PT: Holy crap. Does this mean what it looks like it means? What also became clear after the ...

CuriosityCat: Mitt Romney’s China Doctrine

Every president needs a foreign policy doctrine (ala the Monroe Doctrine) to act as a package for his foreign policies. What will Romney’s Doctrine be? Romney has told Americans what kind of foreign policy his administration would run if he was elected president. On Israel, he would leave no daylight between USA and Israeli policies ...

CuriosityCat: Why Mitt Romney will win the second debate

The Thunderdome Debate The Cat forecasts that once the post-debate polls are in hand some time tomorrow, Romney will be seen by most Americans as having won both the two debates. His margin of victory for the second debate will be much less than in the first, but I expect him to come in around ...

CuriosityCat: Women pushing Romney to the top in Battleground States

Obama had had a very comfortable margin over Romney with women voters. But since his incompetent debate performance, women have given Mitt Romney a second look. And now many of them are deciding to vote for him. So many that Romney is beating Obama in the Battleground States: Mitt Romney leads President Obama by five ...

CuriosityCat: Presidential Election: Is this what happened?

Demonized Mitt The article in the Washington Post  summarizes a plausible scenario for the dynamics of the race so far, and highlights the dangers of not having a Plan B if your main strategy (demonize your opponent) falters: All of this suggests that the presidential race changed in some fundamental way after the first debate. ...

CuriosityCat: Berry & Bickers: Obama will lose; say hello to President Romney

Berry & Bickers  electoral map forecast Two professors who have a forecast model with an accuracy rate of 100% for the past 8 presidential elections believe that the next president will be named Mitt Romney. Michael J. Berry, of the University of Colarado, Denver, and Kenneth N. Bickers, of the University of Colorado, Boulder, developed ...

CuriosityCat: US Elections: What about the House? And the Senate? The news is not good

House of Representatives – No change In 2012 the control of all three of the political bodies is up for grabs: the Presidency, the House of Representatives, and the Senate. Right now the President is a Democrat, the Democrats loosely control the Senate, and the Republicans control the House. Come November 7, the Democrats will ...