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mark a rayner: Important Poll Here

Cowboy boot sandals! One of the 47 Signs of the Apocalypse? https://t.co/ViUC12yscf https://t.co/UeTmWnBwmy #fads — Mark A. Rayner (@markarayner) April 25, 2016 Naturally, if “yes” comes out on top, then there will be another Sign add… . . . → Read More: mark a rayner: Important Poll Here

Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP

Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni

Courtney-Alberni is a new riding that combines part of what used to be Nanaimo—Alberni (69%) and Vancouver Island North (31%). The riding includes Port Alberni and Courtney (obviously), as well as Parksville and

The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote in 2011, over the . . . → Read More: Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP

Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP

Strategic tactical voting in Courtney-Alberni
Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni

Courtney-Alberni is a new riding that combines part of what used to be Nanaimo—Alberni (69%) and Vancouver Island North (31%). The riding includes Port Alberni and Courtney (obviously), as well as Parksville and

The Conservative candidate in Courtney-Alberni is John Duncan, who took 46% of vote in 2011, over the 2nd place NDPer with 43%.

The new riding is slightly less favourable to Duncan.  If the 2011 votes are redistributed within its boundaries, the Conservative would have received 45%, the NDP 41%, the Greens and Liberals both at 7%.

By itself this should mean that strategic voters should support the NDP.

As it happens, a recent poll conducted by Insights West (Sept. 13) confirms that. It found that support in the riding at: Con. 33%, NDP 39%, Lib. 13%, Green 12%.

Update, Oct. 15.  A new poll for BC from Insights West (pdf) confirms that strategic voters in Courtney-Alberni should vote NDP:

Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni
Polls in Courtney-Alberni

Again it is fairly clear that the NDP have the best choice for strategic voters who want to avoid vote splitting and defeat the Conservatives.

Votetogether.ca is expected to make a call for strategic voting in Courney-Alberni soon.

Update. A new poll (Oct. 13) shows that strategic voters should support the NDP.

Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni
New poll in Courtney-Alberni

Recent posts:

For a full list of my calls, see here.

. . . → Read More: Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Courtney-Alberni: vote NDP

Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal

Peterborough—Kawartha is a new riding made up mostly from the old riding of Peterborough.  It includes (obviously) Peterborough and its environs.

Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha
Dean Del Mastro convicted

Strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha have good reason to want to avoid vote splitting and change parties in this election.  Its Conservative MP for the last decade has been the odious Dean Del who was found guilty last year of electoral corruption and tampering wiht documents and sent to prison.

In the last election, Delmastro was elected quite easily with 47% of the vote, followed by the Liberal with 32% and the NDP with 14%.

Two polls have been conducted in the riding since the writ was dropped:

Both these polls and its history suggest that strategic voters should support the Liberals.

Update.  More polls confirm the call. From wikipedia summary of local election polls:

See Votetogether.ca’s page to confirm that strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha should vote Liberal.

Some recent posts:

For an overview of strategic voting posts, see here.

Votetogether.ca’s recommendations:

. . . → Read More: Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal

Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal

Peterborough—Kawartha is a new riding made up mostly from the old riding of Peterborough.  It includes (obviously) Peterborough and its environs.

Dean Del Mastro convicted

Strategic voters in Peterborough—Kawartha have good reason to want to avoid vote splitting and change parties in this election.  Its Conservative MP for the last decade has been the odious . . . → Read More: Bouquets of Gray: Strategic voting in Peterborough—Kawartha: vote Liberal

The Canadian Progressive: NDP vaults past Conservatives, Liberals after 2015 election call: Poll

A Forum Research poll conducted after Stephen Harper officially called the 2015 federal election on Sunday shows that 39 per cent of Canadian voters would vote NDP if the election were held today.

The post NDP vaults past Conservatives, Liberals after 2015 election call: Poll appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

. . . → Read More: The Canadian Progressive: NDP vaults past Conservatives, Liberals after 2015 election call: Poll

Dead Wild Roses: Belief in Anti-Vaccination Makes You Dangerous (and Stupid).

We have a newspaper of record of sorts here in Alberta. I’ll be quoting from the Edmonton Journal to cover the amazing amount of stupid it takes to somehow think that vaccines are linked to autism.

1. They are not. [Pubmed, Google Scholar.]

2. See #1.

“One in five Albertans believes some vaccines can cause . . . → Read More: Dead Wild Roses: Belief in Anti-Vaccination Makes You Dangerous (and Stupid).

The Canadian Progressive: Canadians Unhappy With Harper’s Performance, Country’s Current Direction: Poll

As the 2015 federal election approaches, Canadians aren’t happy with Stephen Harper’s performance and Canada’s current direction, a new survey suggests.

The post Canadians Unhappy With Harper’s Performance, Country’s Current Direction: Poll appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

The Canadian Progressive: Trudeau Liberals lost Canadians’ support, NDP gained: Poll

A new poll by Abacus Data suggests that, in the the last month, Justin Trudeau’s Liberals lost the support of Canadians and the NDP made game-changing gains.

The post Trudeau Liberals lost Canadians’ support, NDP gained: Poll appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

The Canadian Progressive: 70 of Canadians support a national moratorium on fracking: POLL

A new poll commissioned by the Council of Canadians reveals that an overwhelming majority of Canadians oppose fracking, support “a national moratorium on fracking until it is scientifically proven to be safe.”

The post 70 of Canadians support a national moratorium on fracking: POLL appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

The Canadian Progressive: New Canadians Abandoning Stephen Harper, Conservatives

A new poll by EKOS shows that new Canadians are deserting Stephen Harper and the Conservatives “despite aggressive wooing” by Jason Kenney in the last three years.

The post New Canadians Abandoning Stephen Harper, Conservatives appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

Scott's DiaTribes: Ontario voters not liking Hudak’s Voodoo Economics

First off, yes, this is a Forum poll, but like BigcityLib, I’ll take it as a starting point as to what people think of Tim Hudak’s 100 000 public sector job cuts/1 million jobs created dual promises. So far, they don’t like it at all, or they don’t believe Timmy can do what he claims:

. . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Ontario voters not liking Hudak’s Voodoo Economics

Aaron Manton: POLL: Ontario Election – Who Has the Best Bus?

Will Kathleen Wynne’s steady hands stay at 10 and 2? How many of Tim Hudak’s million jobs are for designing bus wrap slogans? What’s the insurance rate for Andrea Horwath’s campaign vehicle? Transportation, already a prominent issue in the 2014 provincial election, intersects with many aspects of politics, policy, and campaigning. With that in mind, . . . → Read More: Aaron Manton: POLL: Ontario Election – Who Has the Best Bus?

daveberta.ca - Alberta politics: Phone poll suggests NDP MLA testing waters for leadership bid?

TweetIs there an undeclared race underway to become leader of the Alberta NDP? An interactive voice response poll calling Albertans on February 11 suggests there just might be. The automated phone poll conducted by the Toronto-based Research House began with innocuous questions aimed at gaging opinions about the current Progressive Conservative government and other political . . . → Read More: daveberta.ca – Alberta politics: Phone poll suggests NDP MLA testing waters for leadership bid?

The Canadian Progressive: Nova Scotians overwhelmingly support continued ban on fracking

A just released poll shows that Nova Scotians overwhelmingly support a continued moratorium on fracking, unless an independent review finds there is no risk to drinking water, human health, the climate or communities.

The post Nova Scotians overwhelmingly support continued ban on fracking appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

Cowichan Conversations: Vancouver Island Could Become Canada’s 11th Province

Richard Hughes-Political Blogger

The concept of Vancouver Island going its’ own way as Canada’s 11th province is being floated once again.

Separated by land, sea and air many Islander’s think of themselves as ‘Islanders’ first, British Columbian’s next and then of course Canadians.

A fledgling group based out of Cowichan Bay raised the . . . → Read More: Cowichan Conversations: Vancouver Island Could Become Canada’s 11th Province

The Canadian Progressive: Canadians oppose Harper’s dictatorship-style plan to gut the CBC

According to a new Nanos poll, 81% of Canadians oppose Stephen Harper’s dictatorship-style plan to seize control of the CBC and gut its editorial independence.

The post Canadians oppose Harper’s dictatorship-style plan to gut the CBC appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

The Canadian Progressive: Poll: 70% of Canadians think it’s time kick Stephen Harper out

by: Obert Madondo | @Obiemad:

Stephen Harper (Photo: Remy Steinegger)

An overwhelming majority of Canadians think it’s time to kick Stephen Harper out and elect a new government, according to a new CTV News Ipsos Reid poll.

70% us are fed up with Harper and the Conservatives’ dictatorship-style assault on our democratic institutions, values, . . . → Read More: The Canadian Progressive: Poll: 70% of Canadians think it’s time kick Stephen Harper out

Cowichan Conversations: Cowichan Conversations Readers Want Change With NDP Leadership

Richard Hughes-Political Blogger

Adrian Dix suffered the worst upset ever for the NDP. Yes, in 2001 we were almost wiped out but then the expectations were low, very low.

Heading into a Provincial Council meeting this weekend it will be interesting to see if the Dix loyalists can stave off the ever increasing . . . → Read More: Cowichan Conversations: Cowichan Conversations Readers Want Change With NDP Leadership

Scott's DiaTribes: Love this line: ‘Liberals continue to pound Conservatives’

It’s poll night! This one from Leger looks at the party’s standing and leadership.. and this gives a hint as to why the Conservative Party, or the Prime Minister’s Office rather (actually, scratch that, they’re both acting as the same thing, which the PMO should not be doing, by the way, if tradition was being . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Love this line: ‘Liberals continue to pound Conservatives’

Scott's DiaTribes: Plurality of Canadians want Senate “reformed”, not abolished.

At least, according to this Nanos poll:

The survey asked Canadians what they would like to see done with the Senate. Respondents were overwhelmingly against the status quo, with 49 per cent supporting reform of the Senate and 41 per cent preferring it be abolished. Just six per cent said leave it as is, while . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Plurality of Canadians want Senate “reformed”, not abolished.

The Scott Ross: Liberals Down In All Major Polls, Arrogance Is Up

Justin Trudeau is popular? It doesn’t matter.The federal Liberals are still extremely behind in the polls. The last three major polls conducted, with 100% accuracy, show the Liberal Party is far behind the Conservatives and in fact the Grits are at the… . . . → Read More: The Scott Ross: Liberals Down In All Major Polls, Arrogance Is Up

The Scott Ross: Liberals Down In All Major Polls, Arrogance Is Up

Justin Trudeau is popular? It doesn’t matter.

The federal Liberals are still extremely behind in the polls. The last three major polls conducted, with 100% accuracy, show the Liberal Party is far behind the Conservatives and in fact the Grits are at their lowest level of support in Canadian history. Those polls were of course . . . → Read More: The Scott Ross: Liberals Down In All Major Polls, Arrogance Is Up

The Happy Wanderer: BC Election…. No Show.

The British Colombian election is set for May 14th, and it’s pretty straight forward. People in BC no longer support the BC liberals after three consecutive terms. BC Liberals have been losing popularity since they won the 2009 BC election.

The NDP started out the year nearly at 50%, and having twice as much support as the . . . → Read More: The Happy Wanderer: BC Election…. No Show.

The Happy Wanderer: BC Election…. No Show.

The British Colombian election is set for May 14th, and it’s pretty straight forward. People in BC no longer support the BC liberals after three consecutive terms. BC Liberals have been losing popularity since they won the 2009 BC election. … . . . → Read More: The Happy Wanderer: BC Election…. No Show.