If a provincial election were held tomorrow, the Progressive Conservatives under Tim Hudak would receive 37% support among decided voters (up 3 points), while Premier Kathleen Wynne and the Liberals would receive 32% of the vote (up 1 point). Andrea Horwath and her NDP are very much in the hunt at 27% support (down 4 . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Even Newer Ontario Poll: Does The NDP Have The GUTZZ?
From “earlier this month”, no idea if that matters @natnewswatch: Nanos on Ontario election: Dead heat – Grits 36, PCs 36 NDP trailing at 22— Rob Silver (@RobSilver) April 23, 2014
Their March poll had the OLP 3 up. All margin of error stuff. But note the NDP has lost a couple of points. Can’t . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: You Can’t Call It Momentum: Ontario Poll, Not Widely Circulated Yet
From Innovative Research. Looks like the gas plant fiasco has run out of steam. And its hard to suggest with numbers like these that Andrea Horwath’s NDP has any kind of “momentum”. Therefore: a budget deal in the works? A Spring election averted? That’s how I’m starting to lean.
. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: New Ontario Poll
Poor Tim Hudak is stinking out the joint!
While the Ontario NDP has picked up three points since July, nudging the Progressive Conservatives ever so gently down to third place, the overall picture remains largely stable. The Liberals are holding steady at 32 points, with the NDP sitting close behind at 29 points. At 27 . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: HOLY FUCKING SHIT! New Poll Puts Hudak Tories In THIRD FUCKING PLACE!
New Oraclepoll shows Ont tied: Libs 35%, PCs 34, NDP 23. Sample +/- 3% fm March 21-30 (amid OPP news on 27th). Echoes recent Forum poll— Martin Regg Cohn (@reggcohn) April 2, 2014
I’ve never heard of Oracle. Their website is here. Nick Kouvalis (John Tory’s current and Rob Ford’s former black arts guy) says . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: New Ontario Poll
One from NANOS, that is:
The Liberals are at 36 percent support followed by the PCs at 33 percent and the NDP at 25 percent. The Green Party had 7 percent in Ontario. I freely admit to commenting on Forum polls, especially when they give a result I approve up. “They suck, but they’re there,” is my . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: OLP Leads In Real Poll!
If an election were held tomorrow, Premier Wynne’s Liberal party would receive 34% of the vote among decided voters, unchanged since May. Support for Time Hudak’s Progressive Conservatives has eased to 31% (down 3 points), while Andrea Horwath’s NDP have made serious gains and also sit at 31% of the vote (up 5 points). One . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Our Gal (Kathleen Wynne) Is Lookin’ Good!
A Nanos Research poll, published Saturday, shows Premier Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals are still ahead, though not on pace for a majority government, pollster Nik Nanos said. The Liberals sit at 36.0 per cent, ahead of the PCs at 31.3 per cent, the NDP at 26.1 per cent and the Greens at 6.3 per cent.
What . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Wynne’s Libs Still Ahead
Nick Kouvalis and his Campaign Research did it. But it’s behind this paywall. Anyone know what it says? John Michael McGrath claims its good news for Ontario Liberals. Well no, but I will say it’s good news for the Liberals from a well-known Liberal sycophant. RT @Bigcitylib2 Spill ’em.— John Michael McGrath (@jm_mcgrath) September 24, . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Secret Ontario Poll
The poll, by Innovative Research Group, has Premier Kathleen Wynne’s Grits at 37 per cent among decided voters, seven points ahead of the official opposition, Tim Hudak’s Progressive Conservatives. The left-wing New Democrats under Andrea Horwath, meanwhile, trail at 22. The Green Party sits at 10 per cent support.
I have no real theory. Gas . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Damn!
Abacus has the Hudak Tories and Wynne’s OLP at 34% apiece with NDP at 25%; Innovative Research–who, you ask?–has Wynne up 7 points 37% to 30% for PCPO with NDP at 25%. Oh. And there will be no strike at the Elsie. Have a nice, relaxing, Ontario-Election-free summer.
An Angus-Reid poll taken after McGuinty resigned and prorogued although, as Volkov notes, not long enough afterwards for the news to have really sunk in. Still, Hudak has blown bigger leads before. Hopefully, news like this will convince some of the leadership potentials that its still a job worth pursuing.
PS. Not that moving that gas . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Ontario Libs Only 10 Points Down
…which might go some way to explaining why Mr. Hudak is ready to support the McGuinty Libs over imposing new contracts on Ontario teachers:
Of decided voters, 34.7 percent said they would vote for the Progressive Conservatives while 34 per cent said they would vote Liberal — results well within the margin or error of . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: An Interesting Poll