DemocraticSPACE Projects Liberal Majority in Ontario

Here are DemocraticSPACE’s average projections for the Ontario election. Keep in mind that there is actually a range of outcomes (the #s below represent the average). Riding-by-riding projections are here: http://t.co/mx0ECWc9. Province-Wide Liberal – 60 seats (40.0%) PC – 31 seats (34.2%) NDP – 16 seats (21.0%) Green – 0 seats (3.5%) Northern Ontario Liberal ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Please vote today in Ontario

All the polls are done (we think – last minute ones seem to keep trickling out). So are all the debates. It’s voting day in Ontario. Last election the turnout was 52%. Very pathetic. I encourage you, no matter who you support, to exercise your democratic right to vote – a right lots of people ...

Ontario Election Seat Projections

see http://bit.ly/rtk0SE for riding-by-riding estimates Liberal – 47 seats (35.8%) PC – 40 seats (34.4%) NDP – 20 seats (24.3%) Green – 0 seats (4.2%)

Scott's DiaTribes: Another neck and neck poll in Ontario

More unsettling polling news for the Ontario PC’s and their leader Tim Hudak: With less than eight weeks to go before Ontarians head to the polls, the race between the Progressive Conservatives and the Liberals has tightened, with the Tories five points ahead among decided voters, a new poll suggests. The Nanos Research poll — ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Counting your results before the people vote

Very interesting: In a flash sample poll conducted last weekend on 400 decided voters, Ipsos Reid found that the gap between Hudak and McGuinty continues to narrow. Of those polled, 38% say they would vote for Hudak and the Conservatives if an election were held tomorrow, while 36% would stick with McGuinty and the Liberals. ...

Scott's DiaTribes: We’ve seen this movie before..

A day or so ago, Harper came out at the Mayor of Toronto’s private picnic calling for a defeat of the Ontario Liberal government, which was published on Youtube. Some folks are a bit perturbed at Harper’s intervention into provincial politics, but it’s not like he hasn’t done it before. He issued the same call ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Weekend thoughts

The Liberal delegates have (unfortunately in my view) voted to extend the wait back to 2013 before choosing a new Liberal leader. I’ve already gone over my objection to that, but it seems from what I was hearing that the LPC brought out the party leaders heavy artillery and urged acceptance of their motion, rather ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Watching the Ontario election campaign

Yes, that has already started. You know an election campaign has started when political ads attacking other parties or promoting your own come along on the television. In the federal Conservative Party’s case, they were in seemingly permanent campaign mode for years while they had a minority. Here in Ontario though, we have a fixed ...