Since we’re seeing another wave of hysteria about Tom Mulcair’s support in the general public as the NDP’s convention approaches, let’s check in with the main poll being cited for the thesis that there’s some imminent issue with his popular support. An… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On relativity
Here, taking a look at the voter pools the NDP will be looking to win over in order to come out ahead in if this fall’s federal election turns into a two-party race. And I’ll note that while Alberta may serve as the most recent precedent, similar patterns can be found in the NDP’s previous . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: New column day
Here, expanding on this post about the new challenges the Cons are facing heading into this fall’s election.
For further reading…– Geoffrey Stevens offers his own take on the Cons’ weaknesses. – Meanwhile, Nik Nanos (as reported by Theophilos Argitis) focuses on the possibility of vote splitting working to the Cons’ benefit. But that . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: New column day
Expect the Harper attack machine to ramp up its game:
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Nanos’ latest poll on the parties under consideration by voters has received plenty of attention. But the discussion so far seems to miss the most plausible explanation for the poll results.
Compared to previous polling, the latest survey shows:– little change in the actual support levels of Canada’s federal parties; and– a dramatic drop . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On decisive choices
Assorted content for your weekend reading.
– Susan Delacourt comments on the role of robocalls in turning citizens away from politics – though it’s worth pointing out that the Cons may well see that as a desirable result to capitalize on a modest base of support: What may need more testing, however, is how robocalls . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
The Conservative Party’s Parliamentary brain trust figures out how to respond to Opposition Leader Thomas Mulcair during Question Period. Below: Nik Nanos.
No one should be particularly shocked that yelps of protest by western premiers and Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Conservatives in Ottawa have failed to dent support for the Opposition New Democrats after . . . → Read More: David Climenhaga’s Alberta Diary: Harper Conservative response to NDP seems delusional – and apparently ineffective
This and that for your Thursday reading.
– Duncan Cameron discusses how the Cons have already taken Canada and the world in exactly the wrong direction. But Murray Dobbin points out that we should be working on how to change things for the better once they’re finally removed from office, and has a few noteworthy . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links
The Conservatives’ favourite pollster Nik Nanos is a little miffed at the 64% who didn’t vote for Harper. This majority has come out en masse in social media to protest the Conservative government. But it’s all just child’s play according to Mr. Nanos, much like that silly prorogue thing.
Mr. Nanos compared the response—including 31,000 . . . → Read More: Conservative Nik Nanos: All that commotion over Robo-calls? Blame it on Harper haters.
I’m not the first to make the point, but I’ll briefly wade into the Frank Graves vs. Nik Nanos debate over Robocon by noting why this may be a scandal which may have far more of an impact on Canadians’ perceptions than prorogation or contempt of Parliament.
In those cases, while political observers were . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On subtle effects
Miscellaneous material for your Boxing Day reading – with plenty of interesting news below the headlines.
– Naturally the Globe and Mail’s headline focuses on a modest dip (to a 14-point lead) in Quebec rather than the NDP’s strong national performance. But the more noteworthy development in the latest Nanos polling looks to be the . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your mid-week reading.- Nanos confirms that even as cities are starting to crack down on the Occupy movement, the general public is highly sympathetic to the message about reining in inequality and corporate control:The Nanos… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Wednesday Morning Links
After several months of interim NDP leader Nycole Turmel being neatly edited out of far too much coverage of Canadian politics, it shouldn’t come as too much surprise that she’s behind Bob Rae in the latest Nanos leadership polling. But I’d think the m… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leading nowhere
Daniel Leblanc emphasizes the even lower score for Quebec’s provincial government in Nik Nanos’ trust barometer. But isn’t it rather striking that the Cons’ federal government – which has supposedly enjoyed a free ride since winning a majority – is sti… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Untrusted
This and that for your Thursday reading.- Aaron Wherry takes a look at how the NDP caucus has responded to Jack Layton’s death and the resulting outpouring of public sympathy:After Jack Layton had departed Parliament Hill for the final time last week, … . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links
Miscellaneous material for your midweek reading.- The Star skewers the Cons’ insistence on pushing ahead with bad budget choices:As the Star argued during the election, Canada needs progressive economic vision in the form of strategic investments in sc… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Wednesday Morning Links
Nik Nano’s most recent poll, which can be found here, shows an increase in all three parties on the leadership index. Interestingly enough, Harper seems to have lost 15 points and ceeded these points to the Bloc, Liberals and NDP.Below is Nano’s most r… . . . → Read More: An Interesting Shift. Is It a Sign Of Things To Come?