Strategic voting in New Brunswick Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal Strategic Voting in Madawaska-Restigouche: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Fundy Royal: vote NDP
The riding of Fundy-Royal in New Brunswick is a long shot for strategic voters. Fundy Royal the 2011 vote break-down in Fundy Royal was: Con (58%) / Lib (10%) / NDP (27%) / Green (5%) the strong second place finish of the NDP combined with a weakening of Conservative support just backing the NDP here. Other posts: Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal Strategic Voting in Madawaska-Restigouche: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Fundy Royal: vote NDP Strategic voting in Saskatchewan Strategic voting in Winnipeg
The riding of Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe in New Brunswick offers another opportunity for strategic voters to work together to defeat the Conservatives. Strategic voting inMoncton-Riverview-Dieppe In 2011, the breakdown of votes (link) was: Con (37%) / Lib (31%) / NDP (28%) / Green (4%) Eric Grenier at 308.com predicts that Liberals (whose support in Atlantic Canada has increased since 2011) will take the riding Strategic voters in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe should vote Liberal Other posts: Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal Strategic Voting in Madawaska-Restigouche: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Moncton-Riverview-Dieppe: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saskatchewan Strategic voting in Winnipeg
Strategic voting inSaint John-Rothesy
Continuing our survey of strategic voting opportunities in New Brunswick, we turn our attention to Saint John-Rothesay in the last election, the electoral results in Saint John-Rothesay were: Con (50%) / Lib (16%) / NDP (31%) / Green (3%) a recent local poll conducted by Environics found voting intentions as follows: Con (38%) / Lib (33%) / NDP (25%) / Green (4%) This suggests that strategic voters in Saint-John Rothesay should vote Liberal. Other posts: Strategic voting in Saskatchewan Strategic voting in Winnipeg Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal Strategic Voting in Madawaska-Restigouche: vote Liberal
Another New Brunswick riding where strategic voting could make a difference is Madawaska-Restigouche. Its MP, Bernard Valcourt, is in a close race with the Liberals. Strategic voting in Madawaska-Restigouche the results in 2011 were (see link): Con (40%) / Lib (35%) / NDP (19%) / Green (2%) Eric Grenier at 308.com projects the Liberals successfully taking the riding. strategicvoting.ca urges strategic voters in Madawaska-Restigouche to cast a ballot for the Liberals Other posts: Strategic voting in Saskatchewan Strategic voting in Winnipeg Strategic voting in Fredericton: vote Liberal Strategic voting in Saint John-Rothesay: vote Liberal Strategic Voting in Madawaska-Restigouche: vote Liberal
We have seen that strategic voting could play a decisive role in several swing ridings in Winnipeg and Saskatchewan. Tactical voting may be useful several ridings in New Brunswick, including Fredericton. Strategic voting Fredericton The results of the 2011 election in Fredericton were: Con (47%) / Lib (24%)* / NDP (24%) / Green (4%) two local polls of voting intentions in Fredericton have suggested that the Conservatives are vulnerable: Aug. 16 (Environics): Con (29%) / Lib (34%) / NDP (26%) / Green (12%) Sept. 19 (Environics): Con (32%) / Lib (37%) / NDP (20%) / Green (10%) The best place to cast a strategic vote in Fredericton is with the Liberals Other posts: Strategic voting in Saskatchewan Strategic voting in Winnipeg
A provincial by-election has been called for the riding of Carleton. The People’s Alliance of New Brunswick has justannounced their candidate. The following is a copy of the press release:
The People’s Alliance of New Brunswick announces Deputy Leader RandallLeavitt as candidate for the upcoming Carleton By-election.
Leavitt’s background is in business management and sales, with severalyears experience spent within the NB school system working with specialneeds students and those with learning challenges.
With the current state of the province, Randall sees this as an excellentopportunity for the people of Carleton to elect an (Read more…) . . . → Read More: The Tory Pirate – Politics & Policy: People’s Alliance Announces Carleton By-election Candidate
As a graduate of New Brunswick’s education system I sometimes reflect onthe quality of the schooling I received. I also have a longstanding interest inJapanese culture. It is natural then that I would eventually get to looking at howJapan does education. What I found was a school system that better instills thevalues of leadership, sense of community, and respect than anything I’ve seen inNew Brunswick. I figured I may as well detail some of the highlights of theirsystem and make the argument that New Brunswick would do well to adopt atleast some of these policies. (Read more…) . . . → Read More: The Tory Pirate – Politics & Policy: Education Reform In New Brunswick: What Japan Can Teach Us (Part 1)
When autistic persons in New Brunswick turn 21 particularly severely autistic adults services many services will no longer be available. For severely autistic adults adulthood can be bleak, sad and scary. This is Sebastien’s story, a severely autistic 21 year old from Moncton, New Brunswick … as told by his obviously heartbroken and scared mother Lise.
New Brunswick has an approach to adult autism disorder care and treatment that can most charitably be described as a Band Aid approach. There are many reasons for this Band Aid solution apart from the consistent waving of the “we are living in hard times” dismissal that usually accompanies the replies written for Ministers of Social Development by their communications employees. The reality, regardless of the reasons, is that adult autism care in New Brunswick typically involves one emergency solution after another. These emergencies have existed since before I became in autism advocacy after my 19 year old son’s (Read more…)
The Fredericton Daily Gleaner published an op-ed I wrote about how the province doesn’t have a structural deficit, despite the government claiming it does. The commentary piece is behind a pay wall so I’ve copied it below.
Last month, CUPE New Brunswick also published a paper I wrote on this issue, Deficit Déjà Voodoo: is New Brunswick really headed off the fiscal cliff? It and a presentation I gave, another blog post and other background material are also available through this post.
Want to know a secret? There is no structural deficit
By Toby Sanger
The New (Read more…)
New Brunswick governments have been outstanding in establishing an internationally recognized early evidence based autism intervention service and have made some gains in autism training for Education Aides and Resource Teachers. There has been no progress though in establishing an autism centre for adult treatment and permanent residential care for severely impacted autistic adults with a network of autism group homes around the province.
It is very easy to become discouraged in advocating for adult autism care in New Brunswick. The establishment of early evidence based autism intervention services was not easy but successes have been achieved. While there (Read more…)
Dear Hon. Premier Gallant, Deputy Premier Horsman,Speaker Collins, Ministers, Party Leaders and Government Advisers: Re New Brunswick’s Lack of Adult Autism Care: I am sure that you are all grappling with important issues in these weeks following a provincial election. Many issues have generated intense discussion and serious attention from all of our public leaders. The issue of adult autism care however was not one of those issues. Neither the current governing Liberal Party nor the previously governing Conservative party mentioned autism in their platforms. The Green Party did propose regional autism group homes which would certainly help those (Read more…) . . . → Read More: Facing Autism in New Brunswick: Dear Elected Representatives: New Brunswick Needs Adult Autism Residential Care and Treatment
New Brunswick Premier-designate Brian Gallant, grabbed from his campaign website. Below: Cranky old National Post opinion thingy Kelly McParland, age undetermined; Justin Trudeau, 42, getting off an airplane with some old guy, 62; Opposition Leader Thomas Mulcair, 59.
As the present now will later be past
The order is rapidly fadin’
And the first one now will later be last
For the times they are a-changin’ …
— Bob Dylan (age 73)
If anyone has the right to be bitter about bright young Liberal leaders with good looks, great hair and supposedly thin resumes like those of New Brunswick (Read more…)
I’m in New Brunswick for a couple weeks, so might as well take a shot at the Tories while I’m here. With the writ formally dropping tomorrow, and signs going up across the province (I’ve seen probably about a dozen already driving around Saint John) Conservative leader David Alward is running away from the CBC leaders debate. The Conservatives claim they don’t want to participate in the debate because they are inviting the leaders of the Green Party and the People’s Alliance, but Alward was happy to participate alongside them in 2010. Maybe he just doesn’t want to talk about (Read more…)
Alberta Tories contemplate their departure from the Legislature. Actual Progressive Conservative Government officials may not leave office in exactly the manner illustrated. Below: But if they do, is this the fate of their secrets? Below that: the late premier Ralph Klein and privatization advocate and cabinet minister Steve West.
There’s a whiff of panic in the air nowadays in some of the most politicized corners of the Alberta government.
Of course, every government that has been in power for more than a few years, regardless of its ideology or party name, has secrets it would rather not reveal.
But with (Read more…)
Like… New Brunswick is a province that is stuck in the Dark Ages when it comes to access to abortions. An abortion must be be deemed “medically neccesary” before it can be performed. And… that Beelzebub is alive and active in Fredericton. As for the first new piece of knowledge… I learned this upon hearing […]
A Fredericton mother was heard on CBC info am a short while ago, once again expressing her opinion that overall the new NB Autism intervention policy is good. She basically stated that 20 hours of treatment should mean 20 hours of treatment. Everybody agrees with that statement. Unfortunately the problem with the new policy isn’t the 20 hour accountability policy. The underlying problem is the lack of anything in the policy to provide for properly trained personnel to provide the 20 hours in agencies around the PNB. Without proper training the treatment quality will diminish substantially and may (Read more…) . . . → Read More: Facing Autism in New Brunswick: Ignoring Training Requirements and Realities Will Undermine NB Autism Intervention Services
“Autism spectrum disorder (ASD) is a lifelong neurological condition estimated to affect as many as one in 88 children. It is now the most common neurological disorder affecting children and one of the most common developmental disabilities. Many individuals living with ASD will need some level of support over their entire lives. In cases where adolescents and adults with severe autism are placed into long-term care or other supported housing arrangements the annual cost of housing, which includes caregiver time, can be $400 per day, amounting to approximately $150,000 a year. Few Canadian families generate sufficient income to cover such (Read more…)
University of New Brunswick has locked out professors.
NEW THIS MORNING: #UNB fulltime faculty on the picket line, classes on #Fredericton, #SaintJohn campuses suspended. http://t.co/HHnNjZsKIZ— Nick Moore (@NickMooreCTV) January 13, 2014
Too many train derailments carrying crude oil. This time in New Brunswick. Luckily it happened in a non-populated area and nearby community Plaster Rock was evacuated. There seems to be no end to these derailments. I could not find the video which shows as if an atomic bomb was exploded.
How much damage this kind of crude oil transportation will cause before Harper government will take any action?
Following this comment is a re-posting of a comment I posted on this site 7 years ago in 2007 about the abysmal state of autism youth and adult residential care and treatment in New Brunswick, Canada. 7 years later and nothing has changed. Well, one thing has changed, a very important part of my life has changed.
My son with severe autism and intellectual disability is now 7 years older…. and his Mom and Dad are also 7 years older.
Time marches on. Our autistic children are becoming autistic adults. Our political and government leaders have sat on the sidelines (Read more…)
Premier David Alward of New Brunswick does not get it. It is not only natives who are opposed to fracking in New Brunswick, but the general public as well. Also demonstrations to support New Brunswickers are being held around the country. But Alward is stuck on frucking fracking. I believe natives and other anti-frackers are right and more New Brunswickers and Canadians should get behind them. Fracking is being done on native lands and their permission is absolutely important.
Fracking is especially deadly to drinking water.
The exploratory drilling in New Brunswick also faces opposition from the local non-aboriginal community. Allan (Read more…)
Watch how the media portrays the standoff between First Nations protesters, and the RCMP in New Brunswick. They talk about the “violent protest”. Was the protest violent until the RCMP showed up with snipers, dogs, and a phalanx of officers? Who is the real instigator of violence? Could the outbreak of it be traced back to a fracking gas company that wants to risk the water supply of the people living there?
The media can spin their little yarn to tell us it’s all about unsophisticated and violent Natives, but you don’t have to buy into their fairy tale. We (Read more…)