Progressive Proselytizing: On polls and election predictions

If nothing else, the BC Liberals’ entirely unexpected and dominating win in BC last night will be a useful lesson in humility for pollsters and those that rely on them to prognosticate about elections. All the polls showed a strong (and possibly growing) lead for the NDP, and poll aggregators like threehundredeight.com were predicting a ...

Earthgauge Radio: EG Radio February 7 2012: Liveable Ottawa | Shell oil rig Alaskan disaster

Download: earthgauge-podcast-feb7-2013.mp3 This week on Earthgauge Radio, we’re talking about the Shell drilling rig that ran aground near Alaska’s Kodiak Island at the end of December and we discuss the City of Ottawa’s “Liveable Ottawa” plan. We also have a special guest editorial from Grist.org columnist David Roberts who will explain why climate science is ...

Eclectic Lip: Mitt’s bad day (wasn’t nearly as bad as the dinosaurs’)

As expected by everyone outside the American right-wing echo chamber, Obama handily defeated Romney in the US election.  In the weeks leading up to the election, pollster Nate Silver (who posts at the New York Times) came under such ferocious criticism from Fox News & friends, for purportedly “skewing” his results to inflate predictions in ...

Cowichan Conversations: No Accountabilty For Pundits-Jon Stewart

Nate Silver nailed it but these guys give the Daily Show Host Jon Stewart plenty of ammunition. (See Nate Silver story On the Left Side.)

Alberta Diary: Message to Canada’s media: OK guys, you can stop campaigning for that Romney guy now …

Romney Defeats Obama! U.S. President Barack Obama – perhaps not exactly as illustrated – holds up a copy of the Toronto Globe and Mail after his election victory last night. Or something like that. Maybe they just missed it that we don’t get a vote. Most Canadians don’t get to vote, that is, in the ...

CuriosityCat: Presidential Election: The Battle of the Pollsters

Nate Silver – 538 pollster While most Americans are focusing on the battle between Obama and Romney, hardcore political junkies (such as you) are also darting from one poll to another, and one pollster to another. Gallup, the grandfather of polling, has raised hackles amongst some. Nate Silver, a pro-Obama blogger, popular with non-Republicans, thinks ...