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Bill Longstaff: A minority progressive government would be the best result of the election

I wouldn’t dare to be so bold as to play the prophet and predict the shape of the government that will result from Monday’s federal election. Polls and electorates are much too fickle. I can only observe that if the polls are accurate and the electorate doesn’t suddenly change its collective mind, after the Governor . . . → Read More: Bill Longstaff: A minority progressive government would be the best result of the election

CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau the only leader with momentum

Here’s the chart from Angus Reid on the leadership momentum of the Big 3:

This bodes well for the Liberals in this critical last week of the lengthy campaign.

It you think of the trend then the pre-eminence of Justin Trudeau is even more striking. The desperate attempts of the Harper attack machine to . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau the only leader with momentum

CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau the only leader with momentum

Here’s the chart from Angus Reid on the leadership momentum of the Big 3:

This bodes well for the Liberals in this critical last week of the lengthy campaign.

It you think of the trend then the pre-eminence of Justin Trudeau is even more striking. The desperate attempts of the Harper attack machine to paint him as just not ready have boomeranged badly, and he has clawed his way up from the lowly position he had some 6 months ago, to being Top Dog.

The only worrisome thing for Liberals in this last week of the titanic struggle we have been waging, in the air and on the ground, is that the Conservatives are still ahead in the single most important segment of voters under our archaic FPTP system: those who turn out to vote – those over 60.
Having a big margin in all other segments is intellectually satisfying but does not bring home the bacon.
When I voted yesterday in the advance polls, I was struck by the fact that in the long line of voters patiently waiting to cast their votes, I noticed very few who seemed younger than 55.
That’s not good news for the Liberal Party.
The only consolation is that at most Harper will gain a minority government, but it will be short-lived, with his failure to gain confidence of a 170 MPs in the first Throne Speech.

Then it will be Trudeau’s turn to see if he can gain the confidence of the House in his Liberal minority government.

The odds are that Mulcair will lead his NDP to support a minority Liberal government on a case by case confidence and other matters vote basis, until at least the archaic FPTP system of electing our MPs is replaced by a more democratic form, where every vote counts towards representation in the House.

After all, it must be abundantly clear to even an anti-Mulcair dyed-in-the-wool NDP supporter that some form of proportional representation is the best system for that party; that system alone will give the NDP voice their fair share of MPs in our Parliament.
And for the Greens, voting strategically to unseat a sitting Tory MP is in their best interest, because it will lead to the abolition of the FPTP system, and to them gaining their fair share of MPs.
After all, Elizabeth May really needs a handful of MPs to support her valiant but solitary battle with the mainstream parties.

. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau the only leader with momentum

CuriosityCat: Tom Mulcair says Not a Snowball’s Chance in Hell he will prop up a Harper minority government

The end of the Harper era

Tom Mulcair has firmly rejected any chance that the NDP would support Stephen Harper’s government in any confidence votes after the October 19 election:

Earlier Wednesday, Mulcair was also asked whether he would support a Conservative minority government.

“There isn’t a snowball’s chance in hell,” he said.

. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Tom Mulcair says Not a Snowball’s Chance in Hell he will prop up a Harper minority government

CuriosityCat: Both Trudeau and Mulcair should keep the other man on a short leash

The Mulcair or Trudeau Short Leash

Polls show the Conservatives slipping, and the NDP and LPC in a dead heat for the role of replacement government, but neither of those two parties expected to gain a majority of seats in the House (170 seats). And this has given rise to intense debate about . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Both Trudeau and Mulcair should keep the other man on a short leash

CuriosityCat: Election October 19: The REAL ballot box question of Canadians

The Two Ballot Box Questions

Much as the CPC, NDP and LPC try to frame the ballot box question for the October 19 election, voters have their own views of what the question is. This article from Huffington Post gives some idea of what the question will be:

Coletto suggests there are actually two . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election October 19: The REAL ballot box question of Canadians

CuriosityCat: Forum poll: Harper in free fall and Mulcair headed for strong minority government

Forum tale of the seats

Tom Mulcair is headed towards becoming prime minister of a government with a hefty chunk of seats in Parliament, just shy of a majority, according to the latest Forum poll: A Forum Research poll conducted a few hours after Stephen Harper officially called the 2015 federal election on Sunday . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Forum poll: Harper in free fall and Mulcair headed for strong minority government

daveberta.ca - Alberta Politics: Are Albertans afraid of changing their government?

Four days before Election Day, Progressive Conservative Party leader Jim Prentice stood on a stage in front of hall of supporters who paid $500 per plate to attend the evening fundraiser in downtown Edmonton. Mr. Prentice warned his audience of the… Continue Reading →

calgaryliberal.com: The brutal lessons of 2013.

2013 has been a rather tough year for this blogger. I ran for the Vice Presidency of the Alberta Liberal Party and was unsuccessful. Quite quickly I found I had little support in Edmonton and that I had to work harder to earn the trust of people. It was truly a humbling experience. When the . . . → Read More: calgaryliberal.com: The brutal lessons of 2013.

The Canadian Progressive: Andrea Horwath: “We’re not interested in a coalition government”

Earlier this week, someone suggested that, if chosen to succeed Dalton McGuinty as Ontario premier next weekend, Liberal leadership front-runner Kathleen Wynne would invite the Ontario New Democrats to form a coalition government. NDP leader, Andrea Horwath, has dismissed the idea. In a letter recently mailed to supporters, she said the coalition government talk is . . . → Read More: The Canadian Progressive: Andrea Horwath: “We’re not interested in a coalition government”

Politics and its Discontents: Uncommon Wisdom From The ‘Common’ People

That is the best way to assess the fact that last night, despite all of his gerrymandering, Dalton NcGuinty was decisively thwarted in his ruthless drive for the majority government he had been denied in the last general provincial election.

Thanks to the people of Kitchener-Waterloo, both he and the leader of . . . → Read More: Politics and its Discontents: Uncommon Wisdom From The ‘Common’ People

Thus Prate the Pundit » Social Critique: Unravelling Dion’s Political Strategy

Though my attention is tuned to our federal election, this post doesn’t continue the IP political issues I wrote detailing a stance against certain sorts of “intellectual property” regulation (NDP seems to address it best, though Dion provided a reasonable response to my letter). I’ll go on a tangent today: Stéphane Dion’s campaign strategy is . . . → Read More: Thus Prate the Pundit » Social Critique: Unravelling Dion’s Political Strategy