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Montreal Simon: Martha Hall Findlay’s Ghastly Paean to the Northern Gateway Pipeline

Well I see Martha Hall Findlay has wasted no time soaking up the ethos of the School of Public Policy at the University of Calgary. Or the oily fumes.And has penned a passionate paean to the Northern Gateway pipeline. Every nation-building project in Canada has required negotiation, balance and compromise: Northern Gateway is no exception. You don’t build a nation by saying “No”. You need to ask “How".Read more »

The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

Was in Ottawa for the leadership reveal, and I’ve been meaning to write a blog reflecting on the race. First off, let me thank all the volunteers and party staff who worked during the weekend and throughout the race.

While the obvious winner was Justin Trudeau, and congratulations to his team are due, I thought I’d write about who I think are the more subtle winners and losers from both the weekend and the race as a whole. Presented in no particular order.

WINNERS

-George Takach

Takach wasn’t taken the most seriously at the start of the race, but

. . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

Was in Ottawa for the leadership reveal, and I’ve been meaning to write a blog reflecting on the race. First off, let me thank all the volunteers and party staff who worked during the weekend and throughout the race.

While the obvious winner was Justin Trudeau, and congratulations to his team are due, I thought I’d write about who I think are the more subtle winners and losers from both the weekend and the race as a whole. Presented in no particular order.

WINNERS

-George Takach

Takach wasn’t taken the most seriously at the start of the race, but

. . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

Calgary Grit: Trudeau’s Win by the Numbers

Over the past year, there have been thousands of articles written about Justin Trudeau, his father, and his leadership campaign. Since it hasn’t been a big secret he was going to come out on top, we’ve also seen thousands of articles about what his win means.

So rather than rehash what has already been written, allow me to provide the cold hard numbers behind his victory. NUMBER OF VOTES: 104,552

That’s more than voted in the most recent NDP (65,108) or Conservative (97,397) leadership races – indeed, it might very well be the most Canadians to ever vote directly for

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Trudeau’s Win by the Numbers

Calgary Grit: How I’m Voting

Unlike past leadership contests where I’ve been fighting on the front lines for my candidate, I’ve watched the federal race largely as a spectator. Being away from a campaign offers a different vantage point, and I’ve enjoyed blogging my opinions candidly, as I slowly made up my mind who to support.

With voting now open (this is your cue hackers!), it’s time to take stock of the race…or “jog”, or “victory march”, or whatever you want to call it.

I wouldn’t consider this post an endorsement – as Allan Rock, Sheila Copps, John Manley, Gerard Kennedy (twice), and Dominic

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: How I’m Voting

Calgary Grit: Final Power Rankings

There isn’t a lot of suspense surrounding Sunday’s Liberal leadership vote. Pick the metric of your choice – fundraising, endorsements, hair volume – and Trudeau leads his nearest challenger by at least a 4:1 ratio. I wouldn’t put a lot of stock in Twitter support, but Justin has 10 times more followers than the rest of the field combined.

The following table provides an overview of what little quantitative data we have on the race and offers a Power Rank, based on how these variables have translated to votes in past contests (methodology here).

Fundraising Endorsement Media Facebook Twitter . . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Final Power Rankings

Calgary Grit: Showcase Showdown

It doesn’t compare to the high stakes floor crossings and backroom deals that define delegated conventions, but yesterday’s Liberal Showcase still offered the speeches, signs, buttons, and hospitality suites politicos have come to expect at these gatherings. Justin Trudeau had cowbells. Martin Cauchon made swag history, handing out Liberal-red socks. Joyce Murray brought in a west coast hippie fusion marimba band.

And just like “real” leadership conventions, the program started with a tribute to the outgoing leader featuring, among other things, the clip of Bob Rae skinny dipping with Rick Mercer. That left the candidates with the unenviable task of

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Showcase Showdown

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Travels In LiberalLand

I have been granted the honor of blogging the LPoC showcase downtown today.  I take these things seriously, so I will probably try to write a quick post about each of the candidates pitch speeches, though this ambition may get scaled back to Joyce and Justin’s.  Maybe MHF’s if I’m in a bad mood and want to hurl abuse.  Physically, I will be there for at least part of the show so as to absorb the triumphant vibe that surely must emanate from such a transplendant coagulation of Liberalness, but  may skip out the boring bits (ie any musical tributes).

. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Travels In LiberalLand

Scott's DiaTribes: A non-endorsement in the LPC Leadership race.

I’m still a neutral in this Liberal Leadership race, and haven’t decided yet who I’ll vote for and in what order, but I can certainly tell you who isn’t going to be on my voting ballot – Martha Hall Findlay.

Yes, she represents (or tries to represent) the centre-right in the Liberal Party, and there needs to be a conduit for those views, but she went over the line when she openly said Joyce Murray should be running for the leadership of another party due to her cooperation views with other parties – a tactic that led to the most (Read more…)

Calgary Grit: Updated Power Rankings Show Trudeau in Control

Karen McCrimmon recognizes the odds she’s facing

When I released my first set of LPC Power Rankings in early February, I was a bit surprised to see Justin Trudeau up at 66%. These rankings aren’t intended to be a first ballot predictor, but they came pretty close to the mark in the NDP contest and it was still a bit of shock to see Trudeau 54 points above his nearest competitor. But wouldn’t you know it, Marc Garneau’s mystery poll was essentially spot on my numbers. So maybe there’s something to this.

And if there is, we are heading to

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Updated Power Rankings Show Trudeau in Control

Progressive Proselytizing: How to vote in Trudeau’s coronation

Even before Justin Trudeau announced his candidacy to be the next Liberal leader, pundits were tripping over each other to declare the inevitability of his eventual success. With Marc Grarneau dropping out of the race following internal polling showing Trudeau lightyears ahead, the outcome truly is certain (read this is you still have your doubts). The question now is whether there remains any point in voting and, if so, who to vote for?

Is there still value in voting? I believe that there is still considerable value in voting in the leadership election and that the question of . . . → Read More: Progressive Proselytizing: How to vote in Trudeau’s coronation

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Martha Hall Findlay Flip Flops On Northern Gateway

I haven’t heard this mentioned in any of the coverage of yesterday’s LPoC leadership debate, but on February 26th MHF was for Northern Gateway Pipeline; as of yesterday’s debate, she’s sudddenly agin it.  That’s what you call a policy reversal…a waffle…a dither…a flip flop, even.

Worth noting too that among the contenders only Joyce Murray has come out against Kinder Morgan in addition to the NGP.  Joyce is a B.C. gal, and I’m assuming her opposition is a sign of which way the winds are blowing out on the left coast over that project.

BigCityLib Strikes Back: If You Haven’t Written Off Martha Hall Findlay For LPoC Leader

…now is the time:

It’s time for the Liberal Party of Canada to stop ignoring Alberta. That was the message leadership candidate Martha Hall Findlay brought to Fort McMurray during a Friday tour of the oilsands, where she reaffirmed her support of the oilsands, as well as the Northern Gateway, Keystone XL and west-to-east pipelines.

She trashes the old NEP, endorses the new, Alberta-centric one.  If chosen LPoC leader, she wouldn’t get a single vote in B.C.

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Parsing The Martha Hall Findlay Apology

Dear Justin, My campaign for LPoC leader is so fucking doomed right now that its pathetic, and  afterwards I’ll have nothing to show for it but debt.  Debt, debt, and more debt. And just when I’d managed to shovel my way out the first time, too.  Not that you’d know about what that’s like, you pampered little…  

But anyway.  I beg you to forgive my harsh words of the other night, and also to consider me for a position in some future government.  A small thing.  Minister of String, Cans and Jars might be suitable.  Or a Senate appointment.

. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Parsing The Martha Hall Findlay Apology

Progressive Proselytizing: Specific policies mentioned in the Toronto Liberal Leadership Debate

In keeping with my goal of policy centric coverage of the Leadership contest, this post contains largely a list of various policies mentioned by the respective Candidates at the Toronto Liberal Leadership Debate. The ability to articulate a clear policy vision for Canada, not just utter platitudes and generalities, is paramount to the Liberals being able to find electoral success. As such, I ignored appeals to values or general principles, and also ignored criticism of Harper. This is a pretty exhaustive list of the first hour of the debate which contained the excellent one on one debate format . . . → Read More: Progressive Proselytizing: Specific policies mentioned in the Toronto Liberal Leadership Debate

Calgary Grit: Liberals One-on-One

The moderator failed to ask the tough questions, such as “Mr. Bertschi, why on earth are you wearing that scarf?“

My mind has been on the Ontario Liberal leadership race the past few months, so I’ll admit to not having paid close attention to the federal contest. Not wanting to feel left out the next time a lively debate over Karen McCrimmon’s proposals on income tax reform breaks out at a dinner party, I decided to tie myself down and watch the second Liberal Leadership Debate this weekend.

Of course “debate” is a charitable way to describe what

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Liberals One-on-One

Progressive Proselytizing: Vancouver Liberal Leadership Debate: First Impressions

As following the recent NDP and GOP leadership races so poignantly demonstrated, leadership debates are best at demonstrating the electibility of candidates. Basic values come through as well, but these are largely shared in a party, and specific policies are usually just tossed in more as rhetorical tools to act substantive to a question than they are debates about policy. There are many criticisms one can raise about the vacuous and superficial nature of debates, but they are genuinely good at demonstrating the electability of candidates. Especially for the Liberal party which has suffered from rather unelectable leaders and faces an existential election in (Read more…)

Calgary Grit: Liberal Leadership Pool

Who will cross the finish line first?

While a Justin Trudeau cakewalk in the Liberal leadership race doesn’t seem quite as inevitable as it did two weeks ago, most pundits still regard his win as inevitable. However, while discussing the relative strengths of the Coyne and Takach campaigns over drinks last week, it occurred to me there’s a fair amount of intrigue as you move down the ballot. Kind of like betting whether the Marxist-Leninists can beat the Animal Alliance in your riding.

With that in mind, I present the ultimate test for policos – the Calgary Grit Liberal Leadership

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Liberal Leadership Pool

Calgary Grit: Canada’s Greatest Losers

Last week, Martha Hall Findlay and Karen McCrimmon declared their candidacies for the Liberal leadership race. This week, George Takach has taken the plunge. I’ve posted one blog interview with David Merner, and will have others with David Bertschi and Alex Burton next week. Deborah Coyne, meanwhile, has already released more fresh ideas than we’ve seen from Stephen Harper during his entire tenure as Prime Minister. These are seven very different candidates with seven very different messages, but the one … . . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Canada’s Greatest Losers

daveberta.ca - Alberta politics: IT’S STILL A RACE! With one week left, a second poll shows three-way race in Calgary-Centre.

TweetWith one week left until voting day, a new survey released by Forum Research continues to show a three-way race in the Calgary-Centre by-election between Conservative Joan Crockatt, Liberal Harvey Locke, and Green Chris Turner. As reported by … . . . → Read More: daveberta.ca – Alberta politics: IT’S STILL A RACE! With one week left, a second poll shows three-way race in Calgary-Centre.

Calgary Grit: Liberal Heartland Calgary

Wednesday was not a typical day for Calgary Grits. While leadership candidates must all fly into town, knowing the party’s weighted-by-riding leadership system makes a vote there far more valuable than a vote in Toronto, I have never seen a serious candidate launch their leadership campaign from the heart of Conservative country. But there was Martha Hall Findlay at the Stampede grounds, declaring her intentions to run for Liberal leader. It’s tempting to write off the Calgary launch as a … . . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Liberal Heartland Calgary

daveberta.ca - Alberta politics: IT’S A RACE! New poll shows emerging three-way race in Calgary-Centre by-election.

TweetA new survey conducted by Forum Research shows a three-way race in the Calgary-Centre by-election between Conservative Joan Crockatt, Liberal Harvey Locke, and Green Chris Turner. As reported by the Globe & Mail, the November survey of 376 ran… . . . → Read More: daveberta.ca – Alberta politics: IT’S A RACE! New poll shows emerging three-way race in Calgary-Centre by-election.

Calgary Grit: Time To Return Those “Dalton4Leader” T-Shirts

I can’t imagine anyone seriously thought he would run, but Dalton McGuinty has made it official that he will not be entering the Federal Liberal Leadership Race.

While the race will not officially kick off for another 3 weeks, with each passing day it becomes more and more clear that the field will be Justin Trudeau, Marc Garneau (likely), Martha Hall Findlay (maybe), and whoever among the mish-mash of no-names can come up with the $75,000 entry fee.

Calgary Grit: The Table Stakes

Forget Mark Carney. We need “electable” candidates like Jim Karygiannis in this race!

Now that we know who can run for Liberal leader (namely, anyone with $75,000 and 300 signatures), the question becomes who should run:

“We have to be careful not to think that somebody who wants to raise his or her profile or somebody who wants to pursue a particular single issue should see this as an attainable platform to do that,” New Brunswick MP and prospective leadership candidate Dominic Leblanc told Postmedia News earlier this month.

“What I think Liberals want are a number of good candidates

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: The Table Stakes

CuriosityCat: Enbridge Pipeline: Is Justin (The Pot) Trudeau calling Stephen (The Kettle) Harper black?

The Liberal Party leadership race is on, and one of the many issues the candidates will have to address is the policy they believe the Liberal Party of Canada should adopt towards the exporting of oil sands oil through pipelines and tankers. Justin Trudeau is reported as saying he does not support the Enbridge pipeline:

On the issue now dominating B.C. politics, Mr. Trudeau said he did not support the proposed $6-billion Northern Gateway project to pipe Alberta oil-sands bitumen to the B.C. coast for shipment to Asia.

“We have to be honest about respecting the science of

. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Enbridge Pipeline: Is Justin (The Pot) Trudeau calling Stephen (The Kettle) Harper black?