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Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – March 18, 2012

Since last week, we’ve seen the NDP’s leadership campaign win plenty more attention in the media. But has any of the news managed to change the positioning of the candidates?

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

Well, we’ve certainly seen Thomas Mulcair under the microscope more than he’s ever been. But while the week gave rise to . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – March 18, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – March 11, 2012

Over the past couple of weeks, we’ve seen what look to be a couple of noteworthy efforts among the NDP’s leadership candidates to reach out to other campaigns’ supporters in order to win over the down-ballot support that will likely decide the outcome of the campaign. So how have those efforts changed my rankings as . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – March 11, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – March 4, 2012

With the voting window open and the second-last debate having just finished, we’re into the home stretch of the NDP’s leadership campaign. I’ve posted on the outcomes I’d like to see – but since that’s a separate question entirely from how I think matters actually will play out, let’s see if anything has changed since . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – March 4, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – February 26, 2012

Today’s debate didn’t do much to resolve the continued uncertainty surrounding the NDP’s leadership campaign, particularly among the candidates I’ve had ranked between 2nd and 5th for the bulk of the race. But let’s see if the last week has changed any of the rankings…

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

Mulcair still ranks well ahead of . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – February 26, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – February 12, 2012

It’s undoubtedly been an eventful seven days in the NDP’s leadership campaign – and one of the most important weeks of the race is just around the corner as the membership deadline approaches. But does any of the activity change this week’s rankings?

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

Certainly not at the top. And in . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – February 12, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – February 5, 2012

Since it’s been a little while, I’ll offer another of my periodic caveats that these rankings are intended to reflect my perception as to how likely a particular candidate is to win the NDP’s leadership rather than my own preferences. So has anything changed on that front since last week?

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

Well, . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – February 5, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 29, 2012

With one exception, the NDP’s Halifax leadership debate looks largely to have largely reinforced the previous positions of its leadership candidates. But there could be plenty more changes in store if a few developments from the debate hold up in the weeks to come.

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

As the front-runner, Mulcair naturally took . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 29, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 22, 2012

For all that’s happened over the past week, the ultimate result has been largely to confirm the relative placement that the NDP’s leadership candidates have faced all along. And in cutting through the increasing volume of activity, this week’s rankings look to be drifting back toward the first set of candidate perceptions from November – . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 22, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 15, 2012

At the outset of this week’s rankings, I’ll offer a reminder that the below is intended to reflect my analysis as to how likely any given candidate is to win the NDP’s leadership race, rather than my own personal ballot or any other endorsement of one candidate over another. And yes, the reasons for that . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 15, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 8, 2012

There isn’t anything new in the candidate rankings for this week, as the latest developments have generally left the NDP’s leadership contenders in substantially the same position they’ve occupied for some time. But there may be some major changes in the works over the next little while – so let’s look at how those might . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – January 8, 2012

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 26, 2011

Anybody expecting the holidays to make for a quiet spell in the NDP’s leadership race was in for a surprise, as the last week has seen the first candidate departure along with a boost in the number of pundits’ rankings and candidate profiles. But will the result be much change in who has the best . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 26, 2011

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 18, 2011

We now have at least a bit of pollster data to compare to Skinny Dipper’s online poll on the relative positions of the NDP’s leadership candidates. But Forum Research’s results look to largely match the previous candidate positioning – which combines with relatively little news from the candidates’ travels to make for another very quiet . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 18, 2011

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 10, 2011

While there was plenty to talk about following the NDP’s first leadership debate, the effect of such an early event on the candidates’ long-term prospects was bound to be limited. And so the most-discussed event of the campaign so far hasn’t led to much change from last week’s rankings.

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

Of course, . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 10, 2011

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 4, 2011

Not a lot has changed since last week’s rankings. But with the first NDP leadership debate looming this afternoon, let’s quickly take stock of where the candidates stand – including with a quick take on what they’ll each need to accomplish this afternoon.

1. Thomas Mulcair (1)

There isn’t much doubt about Mulcair’s command of . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – December 4, 2011

Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – November 26, 2011

Last weekend, I mentioned my intention to introduce NDP leadership rankings. Before getting to the rankings themselves, though, let’s make clear exactly what the below is intended to reflect.

First, unlike Ian Capstick’s survey, I’m not making any effort yet to determine who figures to do the best on becoming leader, only to sort out . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Leadership 2012 Candidate Rankings – November 26, 2011