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The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

Was in Ottawa for the leadership reveal, and I’ve been meaning to write a blog reflecting on the race. First off, let me thank all the volunteers and party staff who worked during the weekend and throughout the race.

While the obvious winner was Justin Trudeau, and congratulations to his team are due, I thought I’d write about who I think are the more subtle winners and losers from both the weekend and the race as a whole. Presented in no particular order.

WINNERS

-George Takach

Takach wasn’t taken the most seriously at the start of the race, but

. . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

Was in Ottawa for the leadership reveal, and I’ve been meaning to write a blog reflecting on the race. First off, let me thank all the volunteers and party staff who worked during the weekend and throughout the race.

While the obvious winner was Justin Trudeau, and congratulations to his team are due, I thought I’d write about who I think are the more subtle winners and losers from both the weekend and the race as a whole. Presented in no particular order.

WINNERS

-George Takach

Takach wasn’t taken the most seriously at the start of the race, but

. . . → Read More: The Liberal Scarf: Winners and losers in the LPC leadership race – besides the obvious winner

Calgary Grit: Trudeau’s Win by the Numbers

Over the past year, there have been thousands of articles written about Justin Trudeau, his father, and his leadership campaign. Since it hasn’t been a big secret he was going to come out on top, we’ve also seen thousands of articles about what his win means.

So rather than rehash what has already been written, allow me to provide the cold hard numbers behind his victory. NUMBER OF VOTES: 104,552

That’s more than voted in the most recent NDP (65,108) or Conservative (97,397) leadership races – indeed, it might very well be the most Canadians to ever vote directly for

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Trudeau’s Win by the Numbers

Calgary Grit: How I’m Voting

Unlike past leadership contests where I’ve been fighting on the front lines for my candidate, I’ve watched the federal race largely as a spectator. Being away from a campaign offers a different vantage point, and I’ve enjoyed blogging my opinions candidly, as I slowly made up my mind who to support.

With voting now open (this is your cue hackers!), it’s time to take stock of the race…or “jog”, or “victory march”, or whatever you want to call it.

I wouldn’t consider this post an endorsement – as Allan Rock, Sheila Copps, John Manley, Gerard Kennedy (twice), and Dominic

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: How I’m Voting

Calgary Grit: Final Power Rankings

There isn’t a lot of suspense surrounding Sunday’s Liberal leadership vote. Pick the metric of your choice – fundraising, endorsements, hair volume – and Trudeau leads his nearest challenger by at least a 4:1 ratio. I wouldn’t put a lot of stock in Twitter support, but Justin has 10 times more followers than the rest of the field combined.

The following table provides an overview of what little quantitative data we have on the race and offers a Power Rank, based on how these variables have translated to votes in past contests (methodology here).

Fundraising Endorsement Media Facebook Twitter . . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Final Power Rankings

Calgary Grit: Showcase Showdown

It doesn’t compare to the high stakes floor crossings and backroom deals that define delegated conventions, but yesterday’s Liberal Showcase still offered the speeches, signs, buttons, and hospitality suites politicos have come to expect at these gatherings. Justin Trudeau had cowbells. Martin Cauchon made swag history, handing out Liberal-red socks. Joyce Murray brought in a west coast hippie fusion marimba band.

And just like “real” leadership conventions, the program started with a tribute to the outgoing leader featuring, among other things, the clip of Bob Rae skinny dipping with Rick Mercer. That left the candidates with the unenviable task of

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Showcase Showdown

Trashy's World: Liberal leadership race – Joyce Murray for PM

As much as I’d like to believe that Joyce Murray can pull off an upset and win the LPC leadership, I cannot realistically expect this to happen. Trudeau has the momentum, the money and the supporters. And the hair. But… Joyce has the policy knowledge. She knows the files. We don’t know if JT knows [...]

Impolitical: The choice #lpcldr

Joyce Murray’s leadership video, released yesterday, which was very well received at the Showcase yesterday.

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Travels In LiberalLand

I have been granted the honor of blogging the LPoC showcase downtown today.  I take these things seriously, so I will probably try to write a quick post about each of the candidates pitch speeches, though this ambition may get scaled back to Joyce and Justin’s.  Maybe MHF’s if I’m in a bad mood and want to hurl abuse.  Physically, I will be there for at least part of the show so as to absorb the triumphant vibe that surely must emanate from such a transplendant coagulation of Liberalness, but  may skip out the boring bits (ie any musical tributes).

. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Travels In LiberalLand

CuriosityCat: Poll: Massive support for Proportional Representation

Hat tip to BluntObjects for the LeadNow poll of Canadians’ views about the need to fix our broken electoral system. The poll shows massive support by Liberals, Dippers and Greens for some form of proportional representation (the key plan of the Joyce Murray fix-it-now campaign for leadership of the Liberal Party):   Q: Do you support proportional representation?

Even a sizeable number of Tories think the system is broken. The Liberal Party’s pallid preferential vote system is just that: a meaningless sop to serious electoral reform.

Let’s hope that our party gets its act together and starts listening – really

. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Poll: Massive support for Proportional Representation

Scott's DiaTribes: Joyce Murray submits her answers to my 6 questions

I will not lie; I’ve been very disappointed with the lackadaisical response from the LPC Leadership candidates to a series of questions I submitted to them for responding – not just mine but ones some Liberal card-carrying members/supporters wanted asked. It’s a far cry from the Ontario Liberal Leadership campaigns, whose candidates for the most part were very eager to submit responses and allow the Ontario Liberal net/grassroots see their views on social media. I would have thought I’d have at least gotten some from the “2nd tier” federal Liberal candidates looking for some exposure, but not a word from

Impolitical: On the leadership outcome #lpcldr

Shorter David Akin today: Hold your horses, everybody! Agreed. One part of his piece requires a little clarification though: And remember, it’s not just paid-up members of the Liberal Party who will vote. As many as 90,000 “supporters” or non-members of the party are eligible, and their influence will swamp the 35,000 actual members eligible to vote.

Many of those “supporters” have been herded into the race by activist groups such as Avaaz or LeadNow who have endorsed Murray because of her idea of electoral co-operation. These groups don’t care if the government is Liberal, New Democrat or Green

. . . → Read More: Impolitical: On the leadership outcome #lpcldr

Impolitical: It’s that time, kids #lpcldr

It’s that necessary evil in politics rearing its head…fundraising! If you are in downtown Toronto early this evening and care to come out to support MP Joyce Murray who is charging up the hill in this leadership race, then here’s an opportunity to do so. If you’re not in Toronto, there is always the magic of the internet to make your own particular contribution.

Here are some of the details of tonight’s event:

Wednesday, March 27, 20135:30 pm – 7:30 pm

The University Club of Toronto380 University AvenueToronto, ON M5G 1R6

Ticket: $250(anyone who has

. . . → Read More: Impolitical: It’s that time, kids #lpcldr

Scott's DiaTribes: A non-endorsement in the LPC Leadership race.

I’m still a neutral in this Liberal Leadership race, and haven’t decided yet who I’ll vote for and in what order, but I can certainly tell you who isn’t going to be on my voting ballot – Martha Hall Findlay.

Yes, she represents (or tries to represent) the centre-right in the Liberal Party, and there needs to be a conduit for those views, but she went over the line when she openly said Joyce Murray should be running for the leadership of another party due to her cooperation views with other parties – a tactic that led to the most (Read more…)

Calgary Grit: Updated Power Rankings Show Trudeau in Control

Karen McCrimmon recognizes the odds she’s facing

When I released my first set of LPC Power Rankings in early February, I was a bit surprised to see Justin Trudeau up at 66%. These rankings aren’t intended to be a first ballot predictor, but they came pretty close to the mark in the NDP contest and it was still a bit of shock to see Trudeau 54 points above his nearest competitor. But wouldn’t you know it, Marc Garneau’s mystery poll was essentially spot on my numbers. So maybe there’s something to this.

And if there is, we are heading to

. . . → Read More: Calgary Grit: Updated Power Rankings Show Trudeau in Control

The Canadian Progressive | News & Analysis: Greens won’t contest Labrador by-election, urge the NDP to also desist

By: Obert Madondo | The Canadian Progressive: Last week, Liberal leadership hopeful and Member of Parliament for Vancouver MP, Joyce Murray, called for opposition electoral cooperation in the Labrador by-election. To void splitting the vote. To ensure a “progressive win and Harper fail“. The Greens immediately heeded the call and are now challenging the [...]

The post Greens won’t contest Labrador by-election, urge the NDP to also desist appeared first on The Canadian Progressive | News & Analysis.

Autonomy For All: Liberals Should Beware Emulating US Primaries

During the Liberal leadership debate over the weekend, several candidates, including Justin Trudeau and Joyce Murray came out in favour of what they’re calling “open nominations.”  The idea being that the Liberal candidate in each riding will be picked by the members of that riding association, and the national leader will not intervene.

This is an appealing idea for some obvious reasons and clearly popular among rank and file Liberal party members as a means to weaken the tight grip of the national leadership on the party.  I fear this takes the Liberal party toward US style party-primary elections.

. . . → Read More: Autonomy For All: Liberals Should Beware Emulating US Primaries

The Canadian Progressive | News & Analysis: Joyce Murray: Electoral cooperation in Labrador by-election guarantees progressive win and Harper fail

By: Obert Madondo | The Canadian Progressive: Liberal leadership hopeful and Member of Parliament for Vancouver Quadra, Joyce Murray, is absolutely certain that opposition electoral cooperation in the Labrador by-election “will ensure progressive win and Harper fail”. That it would demonstrate how electoral cooperation works to arrest the perennial anti-democratic trend [...]

The post Joyce Murray: Electoral cooperation in Labrador by-election guarantees progressive win and Harper fail appeared first on The Canadian Progressive | News & Analysis.

Autonomy For All: Joyce Murray for Liberal Leader

While I see some positives in Justin Trudeau, I will be voting for Joyce Murray.  Trudeau has taken the “safe” route for frontrunners in avoiding releasing very much policy and some of what he has said seems to put him on track to be something other than what Canada needs.  Murray believes in a vision of a sustainable society, including real action on Climate change, the overriding and growing crisis of our era.

Further she has taken a bold and courageous stand in supporting cooperation with the Greens and NDP rather than continuing to play the zero-sum game which

. . . → Read More: Autonomy For All: Joyce Murray for Liberal Leader

kirbycairo: Joyce Murray Follow-up. .. .

Earlier today I engaged in a small thought experiment in which I asked Joyce Murray for an explanation of her participation in the cabinet of Gordon Campbell. My language was intentionally provocative because when it comes to human rights issues in particular I think we often need to be a little provocative. I continue to stand by my blog because I still believe that an explanation should be forthcoming (though I am not holding my breath).

With the exception of one Anonymous and spirited comment in my defence, the comments were negative. However, I don’t believe the comments were very cogent for

. . . → Read More: kirbycairo: Joyce Murray Follow-up. .. .

BigCityLib Strikes Back: LPoC Registration Cracks 100,000

From an email I received yesterday evening from Matt Certosimo, the National Membership Secretary:

Presumably, the deadline extension will give the party time to contact anyone who is serious about following-up on their original contact, although I expect the final tally will be embarrassingly low.  That said, if Joyce Murray hangs tough for the next couple of weeks this could still be an interesting race.  She can’t win, but her message of LPoC/NDP cooperation is resonating in some quarters, and I’d be curious to see if she can move the field, or what is left of it, in her direction a bit.  I

. . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: LPoC Registration Cracks 100,000

Accidental Deliberations: Wednesday Morning Links

Miscellaneous material for your mid-week reading.

- Tim Harper reminds us why Brad Wall is thoroughly off base in claiming that it’s the duty of every Canadian politician to demonstrate constant fealty to his resource-sector puppet-masters: The Conservatives, of course, would like the entire country to come together behind their view of resource extraction, but the nice thing about democracy is it accommodates dissonant voices.

Keystone faces credible and determined opposition in both countries.

There is a longstanding protocol in the U.S. that politicians do not criticize the government while abroad, but if that ever was the convention in

. . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Wednesday Morning Links

Impolitical: Attack can be the sincerest form of flattery #lpcldr

As readers of my blog would know, I have been supporting Joyce Murray in the Liberal leadership campaign. I have been proud to do so as Joyce has run a smart, positive political campaign from the get-go.

She has emphasized her vision of a Sustainable Society with compelling proposals on environmental sustainability, a digital economy, promoting democracy abroad, advancing the participation of women in Canadian society, smart crime policy that would legalize cannabis, and yes, a strong political platform that would enable these policies to be put in place.

Her electoral cooperation proposal, underpinning the key and crucial goal

. . . → Read More: Impolitical: Attack can be the sincerest form of flattery #lpcldr

Accidental Deliberations: On poison pills

I’ve already pointed out the absurdity of Gordon Campbell anti-NDP acolyte Joyce Murray pretending to run as a pan-progressive candidate in the Libs’ leadership race. But if we needed any more indication that she can’t be taken seriously, Tim Harper provides it by looking at the fine print of her “cooperation” plan: Under the Murray plan, seats held by the Conservatives in which the governing party received less than 50 per cent of the vote would be targeted for co-operation.

She would blend the 2008 and 2011 results, to eliminate any onetime anomalies. One such anomaly, she said, was the

. . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On poison pills

Politics and its Discontents: Absolutely!

For me, one of the biggest offenses against logical thinking is absolutism, which essentially says there is only one right answer, that everything is black or white, with no gradations of gray. An example would be Vic Toews infamous assertion, when controversy erupted over his deeply flawed Internet surveillance bill, that those who opposed the legislation were siding with child pornographers. Another would be George Bush’s claim, after 9/11, that ‘You are either with us, or with the terrorists.’

Despite what the above examples might suggest, such thinking, sadly, is not the exclusive domain of those with

. . . → Read More: Politics and its Discontents: Absolutely!