Accidental Deliberations: On anticipated departures

With Canada’s federal election still a month and a half away, it’s obviously too early to be concluding that it will end the career of any of our current political leaders. (And we should keep that in mind given that far too much commentary treats the question of whether leaders will hold onto their jobs ...

Driving The Porcelain Bus: NDP Now Has A Stable Lead And Is In Minority Government Territory

3 new polls were released today (Environics, Forum, Ipsos Reid), all confirming that the NDP has a stable and comfortable lead over the other parties. The Environics poll was in the field earlier and over a longer period (June 3-18), so it shows the older trend when the 3 parties were virtually tied. The other ...

Driving The Porcelain Bus: NDP Now Has A Stable Lead And Is In Minority Government Territory

3 new polls were released today (Environics, Forum, Ipsos Reid), all confirming that the NDP has a stable and comfortable lead over the other parties. The Environics poll was in the field earlier and over a longer period (June 3-18), so it shows the older trend when the 3 parties were virtually tied. The other ...

Toronto Lawyer | Omar Ha-Redeye, J.D. » Politics: Predicting Politics in 2014

Omar Ha-Redeye shared a panel on Newstalk 1010 with John Wright of Ipsos Reid and Cal Bricker of Waste Management to discuss the future of federal, provincial and municipal politics. The show will be aired several times over the holidays.    

Scott's DiaTribes: Another poll to take at face value

Ipsos-Reid was the only pollster last month that showed the three federal parties in a three way tie and the NDP at the 30% mark. This of course was immediately seized upon by my NDP colleagues – I can’t say I blame them really; though the fact they ignored every other pollster that didn’t show ...

Driving The Porcelain Bus: Latest Ipsos-Reid Poll Shows NDP Rising At The Expense of The Liberals

Ipsos Reid just released new federal poll numbers. Their latest poll was conducted between Oct. 25 and 28, 2013. Their previous poll covered Oct. 16 to 20, 2013. Here is a comparison between their 2 polls             Oct. 20       Oct. 28 NDP      27%            31%   up 4% Lib         33%            31%  down 2% Con       31%            30%   down ...

Driving The Porcelain Bus: Latest Ipsos-Reid Poll Shows NDP Rising At The Expense of The Liberals

Ipsos Reid just released new federal poll numbers.Their latest poll was conducted between Oct. 25 and 28, 2013. Their previous poll covered Oct. 16 to 20, 2013. Here is a comparison between their 2 polls             Oct. 20       Oct. 28NDP      27%            31%   up 4%Lib         33%            31%  down 2%Con       31%            30%   down 1%Grn          2%              2% Blc  ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Senate reform still desired over Senate abolition or status quo

Despite the Senate scandal deepening, it appears that for now, Canadians still prefer reforming the Senate over abolishing it, as indicated by this Ipsos-Reid poll from a couple of days ago. 49% of respondents indicated reform (and the Ipsos question on reform is worded as “..reformed to make it for example an elected body“) while ...

The Canadian Progressive: Poll: 70% of Canadians think it’s time kick Stephen Harper out

by: Obert Madondo | @Obiemad: Stephen Harper (Photo: Remy Steinegger) An overwhelming majority of Canadians think it’s time to kick Stephen Harper out and elect a new government, according to a new CTV News Ipsos Reid poll. 70% us are fed up with Harper and the Conservatives’ dictatorship-style assault on our democratic institutions, values, science and the environment. We’re ...

Calgary Grit: Chickening Out On Change

“Well this is awkward” We’ve been reminded this week that an 8-point lead in the dying days of an election campaign is about as safe as a 2-goal lead in the final 90 seconds of a playoff hockey game. Never take anything for granted. Despite leading by between 2 to 9 points in every poll ...

Canadian Progressive: Canadians oppose drug patent extension in Canada-EU trade deal: POLL

A new poll by Ipsos Reid, released today by the Council of Canadians and the Canadian Health Coalition, shows that what would otherwise be high support for a Canada-European Union free trade deal collapses on the issue of pharmaceutical drug costs, with 69 per cent of Canadians opposing a deal that would lengthen patent protections for ...

Scott's DiaTribes: New poll shows the challenge for the new Liberal leader

The National Post released an Ipsos-Reid poll yesterday, and it shows that a lot of the anti-Harper vote has and continues to coalesce around the NDP: According to the poll, which asked Canadians who they would vote for if an election occurred today, the NDP under Thomas Mulcair would receive 38% of the popular vote, ...

Really Ipsos-Reid, a poll commissioned by Alberta’s Enbridge on BCers’ opinions on Northern Gateway, published only in Postmedia? Really?

Canadian polling companies are taking a big hit lately and with good reason. One firm I thought would be above the fray is the juggernaut, Ipsos-Reid. Then I read about this iffy IR poll commissioned by Northern Gateway proponent Enbridge about British Columbian feelings toward the pipeline. Adding to the mire is that fact that the ...

David Climenhaga's Alberta Diary: The jury’s out – or it should be, anyway – on the Calgary Herald’s latest pro-Redford poll

Premier Alison Redford of the Popular Conservatives is really popular with these guys, you can just tell! Wow! This just in! Alison Redford is so popular…. How popular is she? Alberta’s new premier is so popular she’s more popular that her popular party. And they’re so popular they’re called the Popular Conservatives, right? So that ...

Blunt Objects: Ipsos Gives OLP 10-point lead, supports Ekos

Wow, who would think you would see this from Ipsos Reid, on an incumbent premier who has not had the best eight year legacy attached to his name? A ten-point lead, so close to election day? That’s pretty good confirmation of momentum if I ever saw one. In my projection, this gives the Ontario Liberals ...

Scott's DiaTribes: When pollsters go after each other.

As you might know if you’re a reader of this blog, I occasionally comment on polls. Today is a slightly different setting. A polling company criticizes and takes to task other “new” polling companies. Ipsos-Reid released a highly unusual statement at their site, where they question those other polling companies science and methods, and caution ...

Blunt Objects: Two Polls Give Ontario Grits Smiles

One from Ipsos Reid and one from Nanos Research confirm the trend seen in the Harris-Decima poll that was out only a few days ago, which blew the race in Ontario wide open. First, the Ipsos Reid poll gives the Ontario Liberals the lead with 38%, with the PCs statistically tied at 37%. The NDP ...

Scott's DiaTribes: The Hudak Conservatives are in trouble: polls

We had some people wondering if the Harris-Decima poll earlier last week showing an 11 point Liberal lead was an “outlier”. Well, we have 32 new polls out this evening in a matter of minutes within each other, and while the #’s are different, the momentum is confirmed by those polls for the Liberals. First ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Counting your results before the people vote

Very interesting: In a flash sample poll conducted last weekend on 400 decided voters, Ipsos Reid found that the gap between Hudak and McGuinty continues to narrow. Of those polled, 38% say they would vote for Hudak and the Conservatives if an election were held tomorrow, while 36% would stick with McGuinty and the Liberals. ...