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The Canadian Progressive: Trudeau is “just not ready” to be Canada’s next prime minister: Poll

According to a new Forum Research poll, Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau is “just not ready” to replace Stephen Harper as Canada’s next prime minister.

The post Trudeau is “just not ready” to be Canada’s next prime minister: Poll appeared first on The Canadian Progressive.

BigCityLib Strikes Back: New Forum Poll Shows OLP Moving Ahead

Sure its only Forum (from here, but behind irritating pay-wall.).  But it does show what common-sense dictates…that running on a platform of “leaner times for all” won’t fire up no crowds. It also shows something confirmed by every other poll, regardless of source: that the NDP campaign has come out of the starting blocks like . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: New Forum Poll Shows OLP Moving Ahead

Scott's DiaTribes: Ontario voters not liking Hudak’s Voodoo Economics

First off, yes, this is a Forum poll, but like BigcityLib, I’ll take it as a starting point as to what people think of Tim Hudak’s 100 000 public sector job cuts/1 million jobs created dual promises. So far, they don’t like it at all, or they don’t believe Timmy can do what he claims:

. . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Ontario voters not liking Hudak’s Voodoo Economics

Politics and its Discontents: Whose Sorry Now?

Perhaps NDP leader Andrea Horwath will be, for forcing an unnecessary Ontario election, if the results of a new Forum Research Poll hold throughout the campaign.

The survey of 1,845 people across Ontario, conducted on Friday and Saturday, yielded the following reuslts:

– 48 per cent of respondents approved of the budget. Thirty-two per . . . → Read More: Politics and its Discontents: Whose Sorry Now?

Scott's DiaTribes: Tough night for the Ontario Libs & Wynne

Last night, there were 2 byelections in Ontario, which were seen as a test of what the political winds are like in Ontario these days. The Ontario Liberals and Premier Kathleen Wynne was hoping to wrest away Thornhill from the PC’s, while Niagara Falls, in Tim Hudak’s backyard, it was seen as a test to . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Tough night for the Ontario Libs & Wynne

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Forum Research Fucks Up, Admits Error

From ThreeHundredEight.com:

UPDATE: As appeared to be the case, Forum Research has confirmed there was an error in its two reports that listed the numbers that should have been Trudeau’s as Mulcair’s and the numbers that should have been Mulcair’s as Trudeau’s. So, the error crept in when Forum took the data from their polling . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Forum Research Fucks Up, Admits Error

OPSEU Diablogue: Briefs: The Scarborough Hospital looking for $6.8 million in savings with or without merger

The Rouge Valley Health System and The Scarborough Hospital officially filed notification to the Local Health Integration Network of their intent to merge, but it doesn’t mean hard times are over. Robert Biron, CEO of The Scarborough Hospital, sent a … Continue reading →

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Dan On Polling

Probably the best piece I’ve read on the Forum Polling cock-up in Manitoba:

Instead, what we’re dealing with appears to be flawed methodology. Bozinoff has admitted that some respondents may have been called for 3 consecutive polls, and that likely wouldn’t have happened unless the response rate was in the neighbourhood of 1% (typical for . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Dan On Polling

BigCityLib Strikes Back: There’s Another Forum Poll Out

But I’m not going to link to it or even tell you what its about.  Because why bother?  I will just say that the one media outlet that’s picked it up seems ashamed of the fact.  At least, they’re not promoting it anywhere.

Scott's DiaTribes: Can someone pay a pollster other then Forum to re-poll the Mayor Ford approval rating?

I’m rather skeptical of those numbers – or any numbers – that Forum polls after last night. The Manitoba ridings were way off, as you might have seen. The Ontario #’s were slightly better; they can claim to be within the MOE at least in those races, though not as close as they’d like, I’m . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Can someone pay a pollster other then Forum to re-poll the Mayor Ford approval rating?

BigCityLib Strikes Back: BREAKING NEWS: By-Election Results Offer No Compelling Narrative!!!

Status Quo.  Close in Brandon.  Whumped ’em in T.O. Center and Bourassa  LPC increased its vote share, so that’s nice but no big thng.  Didn’t I tell you so?  I did!

PS.  Dear Forum Research, your crappy polls were only off by like 30 percent in Brandon.  You officially suck.

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affair, On Recent Forum Polls

The occasion is this story in the Winnipeg Free Press:

Forum released its latest round of polling late Sunday night following calls into the riding during the day. The survey has a relatively small sample size but suggests Liberal Rolf Dinsdale enjoys 59 per cent support, a commanding lead over Conservative Larry Maguire’s 30 per . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Darrell Bricker, CEO of Ipsos Public Affair, On Recent Forum Polls

Scott's DiaTribes: Forum Polling Updated (in 2 ridings) for the byelections on Monday

Consider this a continuation of last blogpost, where I said I’d update the post if Forum came out with 1 last quickie update. I figured it just was better to post the new numbers here:

In brief: Toronto-Centre and Brandon were re-polled today. Bourassa and Provencher were not – their #’s from the prior blog . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Forum Polling Updated (in 2 ridings) for the byelections on Monday

Scott's DiaTribes: Another Test For Forum Research & Its Polling Methods (in byelections anyhow)

For a minute, let’s forget what partisan side of the fence we’re all on, and turn into poll analysts. Forum Research is the only pollster doing any poll tracking of the four byelections, which are to commence tomorrow. Forum’s probably last poll of the cycle before Monday lists the following findings:

Bourassa: Liberals 43, NDP . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Another Test For Forum Research & Its Polling Methods (in byelections anyhow)

Scott's DiaTribes: More encouraging polls for the Liberals

Two polls come to us today – from two separate pollsters. The first I highlight comes from Forum Research, where voter preference and voter switching is looked at, and Justin Trudeau’s Liberals lead in the net-gain of votes:

The poll, conducted by Forum Research, says that one third of people who voted NDP in the . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: More encouraging polls for the Liberals

Scott's DiaTribes: This poll and that poll – more summer bad news for the Conservatives

More polls to talk about today. First, two-thirds of Canadians who were polled disapprove of Prime Minister proroguing Parliament in Sept and waiting until late October to reconvene Parliament.

As I said in my blogpost just the other day, this is probably the most “conventional” use of proroguing Parliament (or intending to prorogue, as . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: This poll and that poll – more summer bad news for the Conservatives

Scott's DiaTribes: Byelection Day in Ontario – grading the pollsters polls

Interested political observers and partisans will be looking at today’s by-elections here in Ontario to see what message the voters will be sending the Ontario Liberal government of Kathleen Wynne.

I’ll be interested in the results for more then one reason. We have had 2 polling companies – Forum, and Campaign Research – doing . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Byelection Day in Ontario – grading the pollsters polls

Scott's DiaTribes: Forum polls: looking grim for OLP in the byelections

New polling done by Forum released today shows the OLP may only be winning 1 seat of the five byelections this August 1:

The Progressive Conservatives are well ahead in two longtime Liberal strongholds — one in Toronto and the other former premier Dalton McGuinty’s Ottawa riding, according to a Forum Research poll…According to the . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: Forum polls: looking grim for OLP in the byelections

Politics and its Discontents: Climate Change Poll

The Disaffected Lib continues to do stellar work on the climate change file. Visiting his site will arm anyone interested with some solid information about what is, in my view, the most dire threat facing humanity today. Yet I can’t escape the dispiriting conviction that despite such invaluable efforts and resources, little is going . . . → Read More: Politics and its Discontents: Climate Change Poll

Scott's DiaTribes: On Senate Reform

Your latest poll from Forum Research on what should be done with the Senate:

“More than one third want to abolish the Senate. An additional 37% called for the Senate to become an elected body. Less than 10% felt it best to leave the Senate as is. The latest results are consistent with an earlier . . . → Read More: Scott’s DiaTribes: On Senate Reform

Valerie Burns: BC Election Results Vindicate Many

Premier Clark’s astounding election victory deserves to be celebrated. Almost nobody thought she had a shot, and the reports on her chances were dismal. The polls were bad. The media was against her. Certain pesky issues seemed to dominate her message.

So congratulations, Premier Clark. Way to go. Well done. You did it, and almost . . . → Read More: Valerie Burns: BC Election Results Vindicate Many

Alberta Diary: With Liberals in rear-view mirror, conservative deep thinkers ponder greener look

Your blogger offers Preston Manning a couple of big ideas for conservatives to think about. Below: Liberal Justin Trudeau, pollster Andre Turcotte.

OTTAWA

While the Forum Research polling company was proclaiming that if an election were held today, Justin Trudeau would be prime minister, conservatives of an assortment of exotic and garden varieties . . . → Read More: Alberta Diary: With Liberals in rear-view mirror, conservative deep thinkers ponder greener look

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Kathleen Wynne’s Done Good

Full disclosure.  It’s A Forum Research poll.  That said, I can’t but like the underlying message:

…the Liberals would again win 53 seats in the 107-member house with the Tories taking 36, down from 37 in the most recent election and the NDP with 18, up from 17 in that vote.

One odd (to me) result: …the New Democrats . . . → Read More: BigCityLib Strikes Back: Kathleen Wynne’s Done Good

Alberta Diary: On Monday in Calgary, will the Tories come second … or third?

Conservative candidate Joan Crockatt campaigns in Calgary while a supporter covers his face in embarrassment. (Joke.) Below: The winner of Monday’s by-election, as forecast by Perfesser Dave, Chris Turner. The great political minds of Alberta are pondering today where Conservative Party candidate Joan Crockatt will place in Monday’s Calgary Centre by-election. Will she come second? … . . . → Read More: Alberta Diary: On Monday in Calgary, will the Tories come second … or third?

Alberta Diary: Will the Tories meet their Waterloo on the field at Calgary Centre? One can only hope!

Napoleon after the Battle of Waterloo. Events in the Calgary Centre by-election may not turn out to be exactly as illustrated. Below: Liberal Harvey Locke, Conservative Joan Crockatt and Green Chris Turner. Is Joan Crockatt about to meet her Waterloo? As reported first by Dave Cournoyer of the Daveberta blog and moments later by the … . . . → Read More: Alberta Diary: Will the Tories meet their Waterloo on the field at Calgary Centre? One can only hope!