Stephen Harper has to move the needle substantially if he wants to retain his job as prime minister.
He needs to increase his support amongst voters by between 15% and 25%, to move it up from the low nationwide 32% or so, to majority-seat territory of 37% to 40%.
The second debate was a . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Post-debate poll: Liberals swamping Conservatives in Ontario 41% to 31%
He is already the best protected Prime Minister in Canadian history. Wherever he goes he is surrounded by an army of RCMP bodyguards.His motorcade of sinister black vehicles is as big or bigger than Obama's secret service convoys.No ordinary Canadians can get anywhere near him. Only Con supporters who have been vetted by his . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: The Incredible Cowardice of the Mad King Stephen Harper
Forum tale of the seats
Tom Mulcair is headed towards becoming prime minister of a government with a hefty chunk of seats in Parliament, just shy of a majority, according to the latest Forum poll: A Forum Research poll conducted a few hours after Stephen Harper officially called the 2015 federal election on Sunday . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Forum poll: Harper in free fall and Mulcair headed for strong minority government
Here’s one interesting finding from the June 16 Forum poll: The NDP vote is characteristic of the youngest (43%), the least wealthy (39%) and the wealthiest (37%), in BC (30%) and among the best educated (43%).
The Liberal vote is common to older voters (45 to 54 and 65+ – 31%), the wealthiest . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election 2015 Seniors will determine who is Prime Minister of Canada come late October
Prime Minister Mulcair?
A logjam in our politics has been broken by a string of elections over the past two years. Things that were unheard of before, now are reality. Parties that conventional wisdom assumed could not widen their base throughout the country, suddenly are sending dynasties to the trash heap.
And based on . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Latest poll: Opposition 206 seats, Harper Conservatives 131 seats
He is still campaigning furiously all over the country, sprinkling dollars all over the place, trying to buy the next election.But the spring has gone out Harper's step, he seems listless at times, his cold dead eyes seem deader than usual. He's packing on the pounds.The events of the last two weeks have clearly . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: Stephen Harper’s Strange and Desperate Spring
The other day I told you that Stephen Harper's roller coaster rise in the polls appeared to have finally ended.And today there is more evidence of that.This poll from Ekos…
And this even more encouraging one from Forum. Read more »
. . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: Is Stephen Harper’s Golden Ride Finally Over?
Calgary Centre Greens get ready to surf the Green Wave, expected momentarily. Actual Green Party supporters may not be exactly as illustrated. Below: Chris Turner, Joan Crockatt and Naheed Nenshi. The latest poll of residents of the Calgary Centre riding shows a Green Wave developing among opponents of the Conservative Party in the Nov. 26 … . . . → Read More: Alberta Diary: Latest Calgary poll results – perhaps aided by party’s sophisticated moves – show Green Wave developing
The National Post has an exclusive poll that shows that the Liberal Party would win a national election if Justin Trudeau became its leader:
In an exclusive poll conducted for the National Post, Forum found if Mr. Trudeau were leader of the Liberal Party and an election were held today, the Grits would win, . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau: The Tide Turneth
The answer? Not very sticky. The straw in the wind of the huge problem facing Mulcair and his NDP MPs in Quebec comes from the June 15 Forum poll, which showed this result:
Take a long hard look at that result. Despite the NDP having the wind in its sails for many months . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau: Just how sticky is Quebec support for Thomas Mulcair’s NDP?
Come the election, with the Harper new Tories brand tarnished ever more every day, the polls have for the last few weeks shown that Harper will be out as prime minister in the 2014/2015 election, with the NDP having the most seats but not a majority. The latest Forum poll shows the probable seats . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Liberals will hold the balance of power in the next Parliament