BigCityLib Strikes Back: CPC Bounce Begone

Grenier notes that Nanos’ latest has some actual voting intention numbers rather than their typical index thing: Nanos’s weekly index report has voting intentions numbers in it: 35% LPC, 31% CPC, 24% NDP, 6% GPC, 3% BQ (pg 22) http://t.co/VDSJUwPihr— Éric Grenier (@308dotcom) January 28, 2015 Here’s a cap from the NANOS website that shows ...

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Sure Its Only Forum

…from a week ago, no less.  But that’s majority territory, as the poll suggests.  As for the pollsters, well, can’t find where he wrote it but 308’s Eric Grenier has been taking Forum a bit more seriously lately, after they called NS and Que. roughly correct, and Eric is a smart fellow.  A long way ...

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Trudeau’s Honeymoon Is Over? I Think Perhaps Not!

From Forum: As has been the case since Trudeau became leader of the Liberals, his party continues to enjoy about a 10 per cent advantage over the Conservatives in the Forum polls, 39 per cent to 30 per cent — numbers that haven’t changed since last month.The NDP sit at 20 per cent, down slightly ...

Scott's DiaTribes: Another poll to take at face value

Ipsos-Reid was the only pollster last month that showed the three federal parties in a three way tie and the NDP at the 30% mark. This of course was immediately seized upon by my NDP colleagues – I can’t say I blame them really; though the fact they ignored every other pollster that didn’t show ...

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Trudeau "Gaffes" Killing Party In Quebec

The same stability marks the federal level. The Liberal Party of Canada (DFC) Justin Trudeau won five percentage points in a month, the New Democratic Party (NDP) Thomas Mulcair has lost three, but the two parties are tied among Francophones, where the majority of seats in Ottawa.Depending CROP during general elections, the PLC has obtained ...

BigCityLib Strikes Back: Latest Nanos

The latest Nanos poll showed Liberal support at 36 per cent, the Conservatives at 30 per cent and the NDP at 25 per cent. Nanos Research polled 897 committed voters who were recruited by phone and administered an online survey between Aug. 18 and 22. The margin of error is 3.3 percentage points, 19 times ...

BigCityLib Strikes Back: On Uniting The Left

It’s not Chretien’s fault; he was too busy uniting the whole country against Quebec Separatists and Alberta Firsters.  But–and you know I have the little red LPoC card now and am seriously thinking of emailing them another fiver to support their efforts–if you look at Canadian history (esp. provincially) you see that the most common ...

BigCityLib Strikes Back: The Fruits Of Northern Gateway

CPoC: 30%, -16%LPoC: 20%, + 7%NDP: 40%, + 7% Meanwhile, the same poll contains a few provincial numbers as well: pipe-line sitter Christy Clark stands at 31%; the Socialist hordes, who have declared against Northern Gateway, hold a commanding 45% of popular support; and the far-right pro-pollution Zalmbies languish at 14%. Supporting Northern Gateway has already cost a ...