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The Progressive Economics Forum: Federal Income Support for Low-Income Seniors

Over at the Behind the Numbers web site, Allan Moscovitch, David Macdonald and I have a blog post titled “Ten Things to Know About Federal Income Support for Low-Income Seniors in Canada.” The blog post argues—among other things—that if the age of eligibility for Old Age Security were to move from 65 to 67, the […] . . . → Read More: The Progressive Economics Forum: Federal Income Support for Low-Income Seniors

Montreal Simon: The Amazing Youth Vote and How the Con Media Got It Wrong

About a year before the last election I decided the most useful thing I could do was to try to get as many young Canadians to vote as I could.So together with many other people and organizations all over the country, I set out to convince them that if … . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: The Amazing Youth Vote and How the Con Media Got It Wrong

Montreal Simon: Will Tom Mulcair Blow Up the NDP?

It's looking more and more like Tom Mulcair will survive his leadership review. Or at least get a two year reprieve. New Democratic Party Leader Tom Mulcair should have two years to rebuild the party’s fortunes before being replaced, but that co… . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: Will Tom Mulcair Blow Up the NDP?

Montreal Simon: The NDP Review: Why I Believe Tom Mulcair Should Go

I haven't written anything about the NDP leadership review, because I know some of my NDP friends are still hurting from their disastrous election result. And I didn't want to re-open any wounds.And also because I think Justin Trudeau is the be… . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: The NDP Review: Why I Believe Tom Mulcair Should Go

Montreal Simon: The Strange Search for Stephen Harper

It has to be the most bizarre disappearing act in Canadian political history. The way Stephen Harper turned into an invisible man, or one with a baseball cap pulled down over his eyes so nobody can recognize him.And has rarely been spotted, and never… . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: The Strange Search for Stephen Harper

Montreal Simon: Justin Trudeau, Young Canadians, and the Last Election

During the last election campaign I spent most of my free time trying to encourage young Canadians to vote.As did a lot of other people and groups all over the country.I got the feeling that more of them would vote than had voted in other elections. Bu… . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: Justin Trudeau, Young Canadians, and the Last Election

Northern Reflections: Poilievre’s Future

                                          … . . . → Read More: Northern Reflections: Poilievre’s Future

Montreal Simon: Conapocalypse: The Confessions of Jenni Byrne

She was called Stephen Harper's "enforcer", or just "The Beast." The one who took no prisoners.She ran the last Con campaign, and drove it off a cliff.Before she was tossed off the bus, and out of her master's inner circle. . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: Conapocalypse: The Confessions of Jenni Byrne

Montreal Simon: Why the Con Media is Wrong About Justin Trudeau

From the moment he was sworn in the Con media has gone after Justin Trudeau like a pack of rabid rats.They have attacked his wife, they have attacked his children.They keep claiming that his honeymoon is over. But sadly for them they don't seem to … . . . → Read More: Montreal Simon: Why the Con Media is Wrong About Justin Trudeau

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Election Results #nlpoli

Doing things differently. That’s what the Liberal campaign was all about. Now we have to see if Ball and the Liberals actually put that into action. What the commentariat missed The Liberal campaign platform wasn’t about the details of what … . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Election Results #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The youtube election #nlpoli

This is the year of the youtube election. Some of them, like Alison Coffin’s recession pitch or Dan Crummell’s “I live in the district” spot are simple and straightforward. Others, like those of Conservatives Beth Crosbie and Ryan Cleary are s… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The youtube election #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Great candidate quotes #nlpoli

The Telegram did voters a valuable service the last weekend of the campaign by printing responses from candidates in metro districts to two simple questions. They asked the candidates to identify the single biggest issue in the district and how they … . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Great candidate quotes #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Weight Problems #nlpoli

If you want to know why Forum Research’s poll is out of line with the other polls done on the provincial election, you need look no further than the data tables for the questions. This is why pollsters should give out this information. Lots don’t…. . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Weight Problems #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Abacus poll confirms massive Liberal lead #nlpoli

Residents of Newfoundland and Labrador awoke Thursday to a massive sucking noise as amateur pundits, media commentators, and newsrooms across the province realised they’d read way too much into a single poll on Wednesday. A new Abacus Data poll sho… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Abacus poll confirms massive Liberal lead #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Leaders

The provincial election campaign a decidedly nastier turn on Monday. Conservative leader Paul Davis is trying his best to save the party’s furniture. Davis’ best is nasty stuff. Davis called Dwight Ball a liar. Rarely does one politician openl… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Leaders

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The CRA poll in Election 2015 #nlpoli

Corporate Research Associates’ latest poll is in line with polls by MQO and Abacus. The table below shows CRA’s quarterly poll results since the last provincial election with the CRA “decideds” skew taken out. Liberals are at 50% of all resp… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The CRA poll in Election 2015 #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The parties and Muskrat Falls #nlpoli

The mighty Muskrat Falls turned up a few times in the leaders’ debate on Monday night. Now that the project’s huge problems are plainer,  folks like Earle McCurdy of the New Democratic Party are working hard to capture the anti-Muskrat vote.&… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The parties and Muskrat Falls #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Debate #nlpoli

The only winner in the debate was David Cochrane.  He’s no Paul Wells but he did a fine job of wrangling the three leaders. And that’s the problem for the politicians.  Real people were talking about the fact the neutral guy didn’t… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Debate #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Undull Election #nlpoli

The only people who think this is a dull election don’t know anything about politics. Seriously. On the day before nominations closed for candidates,  the governing provincial Conservatives admitted on Thursday that they probably won’t have … . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The Undull Election #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Kicking ass in political coverage #nlpoli

The province’s major media outlets have taken different approaches to political coverage in this election from what they did last time. The result has been one of the most interesting campaigns in recent memory. First with the political news… I… . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Kicking ass in political coverage #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Details #nlpoli

While the townie media are clamouring for details from people who don’t have the details, it’s important to look at what the people with the details are saying.

CBC’s Ramona Deering had Premier Paul Davis all to herself for a minute on CBC Radio’s Crosstalk.

She asked him what the current provincial deficit is.

“Hard . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Details #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The same sheet of paper #nlpoli

In all the elections in the 21st century, the three political parties in Newfoundland and Labrador have proposed what are essentially the same economic policies.

The differences are minor.

(Read more…)

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Fear and Hope #nlpoli

In his major interview with NTV on the first weekend of the formal provincial election campaign,  Premier Paul Davis insisted that his party was not the same as the federal Conservatives.

Then he argued that Liberal Dwight Ball would not be able to represent the province’s interest in Ottawa because the Liberal leader would not . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Fear and Hope #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The possible shift #nlpoli

If the polls are right, we could be looking at an unprecedented shift in politics in Newfoundland and Labrador.

We could be looking at lots of things but it’s a useful exercise to put a bunch of ideas on the table.  That’s about the only way you can tease out rends that others won’t see.

. . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: The possible shift #nlpoli

The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Possible Extinction Event #nlpoli

A third poll has confirmed that the provincial Liberals have the support of an overwhelming majority of Newfoundlanders and Labradorians.

74% of decided and leaning respondents said they would vote Liberal if an election was held tomorrow.  17% said they would vote Conservative, while only nine percent chose the New Democratic Party.

Asked who . . . → Read More: The Sir Robert Bond Papers: Possible Extinction Event #nlpoli