It really is time for the powers that be in the CBC to put some smart folks in a room and tell them to come up with an intelligent set of facts on how our constitution works, and then to train Rosemary Barton and others in the P&P program. Justin Trudeau made the most . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: CBC Power & Politics’ Barton goofs on Trudeau statement
Qualified support? OK
Polls show the Conservatives slipping, and the NDP and LPC in a dead heat for the role of replacement government, but neither of those two parties expected to gain a majority of seats in the House (170 seats). And this has given rise to intense debate about coalitions. Trudeau is right . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Coalition or no coalition? What will happen on October 20
The Mulcair or Trudeau Short Leash
Polls show the Conservatives slipping, and the NDP and LPC in a dead heat for the role of replacement government, but neither of those two parties expected to gain a majority of seats in the House (170 seats). And this has given rise to intense debate about . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Both Trudeau and Mulcair should keep the other man on a short leash
The Two Ballot Box Questions
Much as the CPC, NDP and LPC try to frame the ballot box question for the October 19 election, voters have their own views of what the question is. This article from Huffington Post gives some idea of what the question will be:
Coletto suggests there are actually two . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election October 19: The REAL ballot box question of Canadians
Who will be our next PM? Probably Harper
We vote on October 19. It will be a cliffhanger, with final results only out early the next day. A minority government is possible, as the Poll Tracker shows with today’s results: The Poll Tracker’s polling average currently awards the Tories 29.3 per cent of the . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election 2015: Is the Liberal Party ready for October 20th?
Forum tale of the seats
Tom Mulcair is headed towards becoming prime minister of a government with a hefty chunk of seats in Parliament, just shy of a majority, according to the latest Forum poll: A Forum Research poll conducted a few hours after Stephen Harper officially called the 2015 federal election on Sunday . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Forum poll: Harper in free fall and Mulcair headed for strong minority government
The mighty Globe & Mail has spoken, on this, the first day of our election campaign. The writ has been dropped, and the G&M has carried the golden election forecast down from the mountain top, and is displaying it for all to see. As of today, this is the entrails of the portent-indicating G&M chicken: . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Globe & Mail: 95% Chance Harper Government will be replaced in election
A key statistic is not who favours what party before election day, but how many voters actually cast a vote on that day. Seniors vote. Younger voters don’t vote in the same proportions. The latest EKOS poll explains why Stephen Harper will be Prime Minister on September 20, 2015, leading a minority government: Neither the . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election: EKOS poll – Seniors will return Harper to power as Prime Minister
Global News graphic of the horse race
James Armstrong of Global News has a fascinating article about the findings of the Barry Kay team of the Laurier Institute, with three really illuminating graphics. The three diagrams clearly spell out the problems facing the Liberals and the Conservatives, if either Trudeau or Harper are to . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Barry Kay of Laurier Institute: Say welcome to Prime Minister Tom Mulcair
Here’s one interesting finding from the June 16 Forum poll: The NDP vote is characteristic of the youngest (43%), the least wealthy (39%) and the wealthiest (37%), in BC (30%) and among the best educated (43%).
The Liberal vote is common to older voters (45 to 54 and 65+ – 31%), the wealthiest . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election 2015 Seniors will determine who is Prime Minister of Canada come late October
Yes, Prime Minister …
Yesterday’s EKOS poll results released by Frank Graves have plenty of food for thought.
The poll results are worth detailed study by anyone trying to get a fix on what will happen in the coming election.
One thing right now, based on this poll snapshot, is that a minority . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election 2015: Why Canadians will have a new government
Sturgeon’s view of Miliband’s anti-cooperation nonsense
Next week Britons go to the polls, and Labour leader Miliband has once more put his foot in his mouth with a statement that he is not interested in any post-election coalition or cooperation with the surging Scottish SNP party. Labour will be blown out of the water . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: UK Election: Labour leader’s nonsense about no cooperation with SNP
Talk about a nail biter! And welcome to the new land of coalition / cooperative governments …. . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: UK 2015 election: Down to the wire
Oh journalists, you love a strong response to an unanswerable question don’t you?
The media are really into nailing down what each party leader thinks about coalitions after the next election at the moment. Case in point, this week’s little drama with Liberal leader Justin Trudeau trying to answer questions about coalitions with the NDP . . . → Read More: Pop The Stack: On the significance of sound and fury.
.@davidcommon Odd report by @ElliottLouise about @JustinTrudeau & @ThomasMulcair #coalition didn't mention @ElizabethMay & @CanadianGreens.
— Saskboy K. (@saskboy) April 15, 2015
Today’s news: Most Canadians are opposed to a coalition government. Presently the only party with the word “coalition” in its founding documents is the Conservative Party of Canada, and yes . . . → Read More: Saskboy’s Abandoned Stuff: Opposed to Coalition?
Election day in Ontario in 1985. On the way into a candidate’s campaign headquarters, Liberal Leader David Peterson’s executive assistant was leaving and we stopped to chat. There was no pussy-footing about the situation. “First thing tomorrow morning, you have to arrange a meeting with NDP Leader Bob Rae.” He was a bit taken aback . . . → Read More: Babel-on-the-Bay: A time and place for political deals
Den Tandt: Muclair cannot count
So, what will our next federal government look like? Today is the last day of the year 2014, and most commentators have hidden their heads in the sand rather than venture a public guess.
Michael Den Tandt is one of the braver ones.
In an article in the National . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Michael Den Tandt is wrong: Mulcair knows what a mess of pottage is
Let’s talk coalition …
The recent poll showing that most Liberal and NDP supporters would rather have a new government than have a Harper one after the 2015 election, even if this means some form of a coalition, has sparked renewed talk about the possibility of a coalition.
One problem with such talk . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Mr. Trudeau: Coalitions are what you make them
Which one, or two, of these men will lead Canada?
The end of the Harper government is clear from this latest poll, which shows that the Harper scare tactics of the past have run their course: Liberal and NDP supporters, meanwhile, have expressed a tepid willingness to consider each other, suggesting that a Liberal-NDP . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: 2015 election: Coalition gains favour
Poloz’s prescription for unemployed youth: Work for free
The Globe and Mail
Published Tuesday, Nov. 04 2014, 12:40 PM EST
Last updated Tuesday, Nov. 04 2014, 7:03 PM EST
Anyone familiar with British politics has heard it all before..the government of Cameron, right wing nutjob with . . . → Read More: Left Over: Money for Nothin’ and Your Work for Free…
All federalists should want the Parti Quebecois to win Quebec’s election this Monday. Why? Because support for separation is so low that holding a referendum would end the issue for a generation, if not for good.
If the PQ loses however, which is looking likely, separatism will continue to simmer until the PQ forms government . . . → Read More: The Scott Ross: Vote PQ To End Separatism
All federalists should want the Parti Quebecois to win Quebec’s election this Monday. Why? Because support for separation is so low that holding a referendum would end the issue for a generation, if not for good.If the PQ loses however, which is lookin… . . . → Read More: The Scott Ross: Vote PQ To End Separatism
Canada’s opposition NDP open to coalition, Liberals less keen Tue Feb 25, 2014 5:49pm EST – Reuters In a a comment re : http://montrealsimon.blogspot.ca/2014/02/tom-mulcair-and-coalition-dream-that.html
Although in principle I agree that whatever progressives elected to Parliament should band together in the sense of controlling the votes, I fail to see why, or how, a coalition of . . . → Read More: Left Over: Whores, Bores, and Liberal Cores….
Two of these men could be PM in the next 18 months
Thomas Mulcair says he and his NDP have learned from the disasterous provincial NDP election: “It’s not enough to look at the electorate and say, ‘vote for me, I m good.’ You have to say, ‘vote for me, I’m a good person . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Canada, want a good Deputy Prime Minister? Look for the man with the hardball in his office
I’ve felt badly for a while now that conservative voters have no ethical right wing party to vote for in Canada (or the USA, for that matter). The Conservative Party of Canada is the only Canadian political party with the word “coalition” in its Constitution. The CPC coalition of the Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservatives, . . . → Read More: Saskboy’s Abandoned Stuff: New Conservative Party? Yes Please