Blunt Objects: PQ in Trouble Again While NDP Rides High

CROP has a new poll out in Quebec which is showing the horse race in la belle province is once again a three-way, with the Parti québécois feeling the brunt of a 6-point drop from their last poll: CROP (Québec – April 23, 2012) Parti libéral: 30% (=) – 53 députés Parti québécois: 28% (-6) ...

Blunt Objects: Death of the CAQ, Return of the PQ?

That was certainly quick. A couple of months after François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) swallowed up the old Action démocratique du Québec (ADQ), and ended up with eight experienced members of l’Assemblée Nationale, the party has spent the last four polls from three different companies in third place, behind the traditional péquistes and les ...

Blunt Objects: What do Quebec and the GOP Primary Have in Common?

There seems to be a new frontrunner every week. Well, maybe that’s not exactly what’s happening in Quebec, and no longer now with the GOP primary as conservative voters line up behind Rick “Don’t Go To College Kids” Santorum, but the situation is eerily similar. Like Newt Gingrich or Rick Perry, the centre-right Coaliton Avenir ...

Blunt Objects: CAQ Momentum Falling?

While it’s not a totally established trend yet, it appears that the Coalition pour l’Avenir du Québec and it’s leader François Legault are facing an increasing downward trend in Quebec’s provincial polling: Three polls out in January all give he CAQ below 33% of the vote, with the Parti libéral and the Parti Québécois at ...

Blunt Objects: Two Polls, Two Minorities

Two polls have come to my attention which show that the situation federally and possibly in Quebec is further deteriorating towards minority governments and three-way races. First, in Quebec, the latest Leger Marketing poll shows that Francois Legault’s CAQ has dropped from the high 30’s to 33%, with the Parti Liberal du Quebec jumped to ...

Blunt Objects: Quebec a la post-2011 and Equipe Autonomiste

Here at Blunt Objects we seek to provide lovely graphics wherever possible, such as now. Here’s what I’ve culminated so far for Quebec’s rapidly changing political environment  (which now includes yet ANOTHER party, which I’ll get to in a bit here). Here’s where the parties stand at right now: You can click on the map ...

Blunt Objects: Four MNAs Become Caquistes; New By-Election for 2012

I love that title – “caquiste.” It works, doesn’t it? So four independent MNAs have joined François Legault’s Coaltion and have become its first sitting deputies before the merger deal with the ADQ is finalized. The four MNAs are former pequistes Daniel Ratthé and Benoît Charette, and former adequistes Éric Caire and Marc Picard. From ...

Blunt Objects: How to Project Quebec?

I’m coming across a bit of a quandry when attempting to project the province of Quebec’s seats that takes into account a proper, regional balance of the Coalition Avenir du Quebec’s new-found success. My original model followed a basic average of the amount of voter drift between the older parties and the CAQ in three ...

Trying To Understand Politics In Quebec These Days–Part 1–Is Sovereignty Really Dead? The Potential Resurrection of Gilles Duceppe

I had heard nothing from the federalist media, particularly from those from the right who say nothing but sovereignty is dead in la belle province. The evidence they have? Well, some polls, which I do take with a grain of salt–the usual suspects–Leger Marketing.  Sadly, that is all most Quebecers have to work . . ...

Blunt Objects: Last Week on As Quebec Turns….

The political drama in the province of Quebec these days is probably some of the most complicated in the world, involving prickly voters with nationalist sentiments who are tired of nationalist vs. federalist arguments and will seemingly vote for any party that offers something new, whether left or right of centre, but also depending upon ...

Francois Legault Finally Announces Official Launch of His New Provincial Party–Coalition pour l’Avenir du Quebec Tomorrow

Well, boys ‘n’ girls, it looks like this is the moment many have been waiting for; the moment where Francois Legault’s fictitious party becomes a reality.  He is to announce this tomorrow.  It should be interesting to see how those same polls who had Legault on top, as a fictitious party, will have . . ...

Upcoming By-Election In Bonaventure is Something Quebec Voters Should Be Watching And Why I am Rooting for The Liberal Candidate

The by-election in the Gaspesie riding of Bonaventure will be held on December 5–less than a month from now.  It’s a by-election, much like last year’s by-election in Kamouraska-Temiscouata, will be one to watch. The task at hand is to elect a successor to former natural resources minister and deputy premier, Nathalie Normandeau, . . ...