Takes them until par 8 to finally, grudgingly admit that the LPC is still slightly ahead: The Liberals under Mr. Trudeau were the first or leaning choice for 34 per cent of the survey’s respondents, compared to 31 per cent who said they would or would likely vote Conservative and
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BigCityLib Strikes Back: Note On New Poll From Ipsos Reid
BOOYAH! BOOYAH! BOOYAH!! VICTORY OR VALHALLA!!!
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Its Only Forum, But… LPC Back On Top!
TORONTO February 11th, 2015 – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1018 Canadian voters, almost 4-in-10 will vote Liberal if the election were held today (39%) compared to just less than a third who will vote Conservative (32%). Fewer than a fifth will
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: I Will Bounce No More, Forever
More evidence that the Tory uptick is over, though its from Forum, so take it with salt: Although it wouldn’t surprise me if it’s real. Most of the things the Tories have had go their way lately have been lucky bounces. The Ottawa shootings stirred up some fear among the
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: The End Of The Harper Bounce?
Rest of the poll is here. The coalition talk is so much chin music; most important thing is that the red line has stopped falling and the blue line has stopped rising.
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: New Leger Federal Poll
Because there hasn’t been much federal polling lately: Here’s the link. Not much analysis, however. For that, read Grenier. Bottom line: not much change.
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Wow! Those Trudeau Gaffes Are Just KILLING The LPoC
And Mulcair is kickin’ LPoC ass! And…and…
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: But Wait! Some Pundit Said Something About Gaffes!!!
Exclusive – While a general election must be held within a year, the Liberals Justin Trudeau continue to lead in voting intentions of Canadians. According to an EKOS survey CBC /, support for the Liberal Party of Canada are at 38.5%, more than 12 points ahead of the Conservatives, who
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Justin’s Star Ascendant In Fort Mc!!!
Liberals would have won Fort McMurray #byelxn41 if held on the new boundaries, poll-by-poll results show. #YMM #LPC pic.twitter.com/JOWtfsE2ux— Pundits’ Guide (@punditsguide) July 6, 2014 Look at that top-line.
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: New Federal Poll
With the Liberals at around 36 points, the Conservatives at roughly 27 and the NDP with 22, voters are in a profoundly different place than they were when the Conservatives won their majority in 2011. Both the New Democrats and Conservatives have bled support to the reinvigorated Liberal Party. There
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Nice Poll From Real Pollster
Thus speaks Abacus: Particularly like those Ontario numbers. 10 points up translates into a lotta lotta seats. At least that’s my analysis. Clearly, I am not Nate Silver.
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Forum Research Fucks Up, Admits Error
From ThreeHundredEight.com: UPDATE: As appeared to be the case, Forum Research has confirmed there was an error in its two reports that listed the numbers that should have been Trudeau’s as Mulcair’s and the numbers that should have been Mulcair’s as Trudeau’s. So, the error crept in when Forum took
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: It’s Just A Forum Poll, But…
TORONTO, OCTOBER 23, 2013 ‐ In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1859 Canadians 18 years of age and older, almost 4‐in‐10 would vote Liberal if an election were held today (39%), compared to just 3‐in‐10 who would support the Conservatives (30%). Fewer than
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Latest Federal Poll: LPC Up By 10
CPC flirting with 3rd
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: LPC Lead NOT Weed Fuelled!
Latest Nanos Numbers: #LPC 36, #CPC 30, #NDP 25 #PnPCBC with @evansolomoncbc #CDNpoli— Will (@natnewswatch) September 4, 2013 Don’t even think it. The economy has been, and will likely remain, anemic. Usually governments pay for that, even conservative ones who like to style themselves good stewards of the economy. Because
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Latest Nanos Poll, Federal
…from this document Not much reported upon, and offered here without comment. (PS. Looks better if you click on image, but if you’re LPC the news is pretty good).
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: Polls And Positivity
Another poll showing the LPoC up, in majority territory even, and by a respected pollster. Two years out and its meaningless and yada yada yada. Interesting, however, to speculate on what it says about Justin’s “relentlessly positive” approach to politics. Probably not much. I don’t think the Trudeau camp is
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: A New Poll From Forum
…who poll relentlessly, if not always accurately: In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll among 1,720 Canadians 18 years of age or older, one third would vote either for the federal NDP or the Conservatives (34% each) if an election were held today. Just fewer
Continue readingBigCityLib Strikes Back: NDP Still Ahead, Even In "The West"
…but narrowly: The Ekos survey put support for the center-left NewDemocrats at 32.3 percent with the Conservatives on 30.2 percent. The Conservatives won a majority of seats in the House of Commons with 39.6 percent of the vote in May 2011. The regionals are interesting. If you define “The West” as including stuff other
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