Accidental Deliberations: On changed messages

Paul Wells highlights the major change from the Cons’ messaging in 2011 compared to today, as the party which spent years doing nothing about obsessing over (and demonizing) the possibility of a coalition has suddenly gone mum except in front of the most partisan of crowds. But it’s worth noting that there’s another factor beyond ...

Accidental Deliberations: The more things change…

Tim Naumetz’ comparison between the NDP’s place before the 2011 federal election and its current position is worth a read. But what’s perhaps more noteworthy is how little has changed. Remember that the 2011 campaign was initially portrayed as a two-party race between the Cons and the Libs. And looking solely at party support numbers ...

Accidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links

Miscellaneous material for your Monday reading. – Janet Bagnall neatly dissects the Cons’ plan for dismantling public services: The Harper government is nothing if not predictable in how it goes about dismantling a program or service. It starts by denigrating the program and the program’s beneficiaries, and telling Canadians that they’ve been played for fools ...

Accidental Deliberations: Friday Morning Links

Miscellaneous material to end your week. – Dan Gardner nicely sums up how any Con cabinet shuffles are utterly irrelevant since Stephen Harper prefers ciphers to functional ministers in any event: In the past, parties in power always had factions, and ministers with their own political clout, and these provided at least a modest check ...

Accidental Deliberations: On timeless recipes

Alice offers a thorough discussion of the ingredients behind the NDP’s Quebec gains in 2011. But the most important part of the story may be that one of the key factors had in fact been in place all along – and may only help the NDP all the more in election cycles to come: Worth ...

Accidental Deliberations: Sunday Morning Links

Assorted content for your weekend reading. – There’s still plenty more emerging on the Robocon election fraud scandal. The reporting combinations of McGregor/Maher and Chase/Leblanc/Mills have both discussed Elections Canada’s latest court filing showing that Con campaign officials openly discussed implementing U.S.-style vote suppression efforts – including exactly the forms of fraud that materialized last ...

Accidental Deliberations: Friday Morning Links

Assorted content for your Friday reading. – Alice posts the full party spending numbers from May’s election. And the story in fact looks to have been near-maximum spending by each of the four parties then in Parliament – which of course failed to produce much return in two cases. – thwap is understandably skeptical of ...

Accidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links

This and that for your Thursday reading. – Aaron Wherry profiles how some of the NDP’s youngest MPs won a place in office, and the work they’re doing now that they hold the role. – It isn’t the kind of endorsement against type that would have the largest possible effect on the leadership race. But ...

Accidental Deliberations: The new baseline

In this year’s federal election, the NDP took 32% of the vote in Saskatchewan – but didn’t win a single seat as other parties dropped off the map and the Cons consolidated public support in all but one riding. And in last night’s provincial election, the NDP again took 32% of the vote – only ...

Accidental Deliberations: Monday Afternoon Links

Assorted content to start your week. – Once again, the NDP’s popular support is holding up in the face of plenty of predictions to the contrary. But I’m sure we’ll hear all about how the leadership race will do what the scrutiny of an election campaign, the transition to Official Opposition status and the death ...

Accidental Deliberations: On improved positions

Last week, I noted the top-line results from Angus Reid’s latest federal polling. But perhaps even more important than the stability in Canada’s party polling numbers is the question of which party is living up to the expectations underlying its popular support. And for all the work some have done to attack the NDP in ...

Accidental Deliberations: Not quite comparable

Alice notes that all three official parties in Parliament amassed record fund-raising totals during the course of this spring’s election campaign. But it’s worth adding one asterisk to the raw numbers. While both the Cons and the NDP mostly raised money within the context of their broader electoral campaigns, the Libs’ numbers include two major ...

Accidental Deliberations: Thursday Morning Links

This and that for your Thursday reading. – Andrew Jackson attacks the myth of expansionary austerity, particularly from a Canadian perspective: (T)here is very rarely any such thing as expansionary austerity, according to IMF staff economists. In a careful review of the historical evidence, they find that, typically, a 1 percent of GDP fiscal consolidation ...

Accidental Deliberations: Not yet satisfied

Eric highlights Environics’ polling as to how happy supporters of various parties are with last month’s federal election results. And the findings look to bode about as well as possible for the NDP’s prospects of expanding its reach over the next few years: Conservative supporters felt very positively about the election result – and why ...

Accidental Deliberations: One of these things is not like the others

One of these things just doesn’t belong. See if you can spot the difference in the following single-election results – and consider what it might mean for each party’s future strategy… Vote Share Seats Provinces w Seats Provinces under 20% High Prov% Low Prov% Rebates 30.6% 103 8 2 42.9% 15.4% 306 25.5% 66 5 ...

Accidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links

Assorted content for your weekend reading. – The McGill Institute’s Election Content Analysis includes plenty of interesting information on how this month’s federal election was covered. But the most noteworthy point looks to be the lag time between developments in the public and coverage by the media: the key developments in the polls for the ...