Paul Wells offers his thoughts on what might happen if the Cons lead in the seat count in a minority Parliament. But I’d think it’s worth noting two other considerations to counter Wells’ take that the Cons could hold on with substantially less than half the seats in the House of Commons.
First, particularly if . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On power dynamics
Following up on this post, let’s take a look at the first of Bob Hepburn’s theorized lines of attack against the NDP – which gets its own separate post since it needs to be analyzed in radically different ways depending on the party who launches it: Worse, the Conservatives are expected to unleash a furious . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On separation anxieties
So apparently this week’s Macleans debate went ahead despite the exclusion of a party leader with seats in Parliament who wanted to be heard. Which raises the question: how is it that Elizabeth May didn’t refuse to participate, as she demands everybody else do when the shoe is on the other foot?
In response to the apparent return of Gilles Duceppe to federal politics, I’ll offer a quick rerun on the state of the Bloc Quebecois: Once the 1995 referendum was in the rear-view mirror, however, the Bloc recognized that it would need to stand for more than sovereignty alone. And so it developed a strategy of . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Unblocked
Both Chantal Hebert and the combination of Bruce Anderson and David Coletto have written recently about the state of federal politics in Quebec, with particular emphasis on what we can expect as the Bloc Quebecois appears to crumble. With that in mind, I’ll offer a quick reminder as to one of the more subtle factors . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On political evolution
Ezra Klein discusses Ray LaRaja and Brian Schnaffer’s graph of U.S. donor policy preferences against political donations:
Klein’s take involves a comparison between the graph and the U.S.’ discussion about political polarization. But it’s worth wondering to what extent the same theory might apply in Canada – and how they might in fact conflict with . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On soft support
This and that for your weekend reading.
– Plenty more commentators are taking a turn duly mocking the Cons’ Senate shenanigans. Here’s Tabatha Southey: In fact, Mr. Duffy lives and votes in Kanata, a suburb of Ottawa, in a home he purchased five years before he was appointed to the Senate in 2008. He has . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
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In addition to its eminently sensible proposal to give effect to the rights of indigenous Canadians, the NDP also introduced another bill yesterday – and one which looks to raise a few more questions.
Lest there be any doubt, that question doesn’t have to do with whether Craig Scott’s bill setting ground rules for a . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On priorities
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Assorted content for your weekend reading.
– Susan Delacourt comments on the role of robocalls in turning citizens away from politics – though it’s worth pointing out that the Cons may well see that as a desirable result to capitalize on a modest base of support: What may need more testing, however, is how robocalls . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Saturday Morning Links
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If coalitions are undemocratic and a threat to Canada, why hasn’t this strong stable Conservative majority government done anything to make sure they don’t ravage our nation? Simple, Stephen Harper supports coalitions.
Just over three years ago Stephen Harper and members of his party said coalitions were a threat to our nation, that they were . . . → Read More: The Scott Ross: Does Stephen Harper Support Coalitions?
Every so often, it seems to be necessary to remind the pundit class that there isn’t a reset button that will magically restore Canadian politics to where they were three or four election cycles ago. So let’s take a look at the theory that the Bloc should be the favourite to re-emerge as the main . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On new challenges
Miscellaneous material for your Boxing Day reading – with plenty of interesting news below the headlines.
– Naturally the Globe and Mail’s headline focuses on a modest dip (to a 14-point lead) in Quebec rather than the NDP’s strong national performance. But the more noteworthy development in the latest Nanos polling looks to be the . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Monday Morning Links
It’s far too early to declare anything decided as to what’s going to happen in Canada’s next federal election. But for anybody looking for an early indication as to whether or not we’ll see a Bloc resurgence, about the only more clear sign than this… The Bloc Québécois had held 47 of Quebec’s 75 seats . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: On eroding bases
Unless hunters and farmers are snipers, the Conservative abolishment of the gun registry was always, as suspected, for the NRA. ALWAYS! ALWAYS! ALWAYS!
Not one single farmer or hunter ever crossed their mind, except to solicit funds or votes. NRA! NRA! NRA!
The neocons turned down an NDP amendment to at least force registration . . . → Read More: Pushed to the Left and Loving It: Proof That Abolishing the Gun Registry Was Always For the NRA
Assorted content for your Friday reading.- Alice posts the full party spending numbers from May’s election. And the story in fact looks to have been near-maximum spending by each of the four parties then in Parliament – which of course failed to produc… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Friday Morning Links
Tuesday, October 4 was an opposition day, featuring a motion from Bob Rae on a national suicide strategy that provoked somewhat more agreement than usual. But that doesn’t mean there wasn’t plenty worth debating.The Big IssueWhile all parties naturally… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Parliament In Review: October 4, 2011
Monday, October 3 saw another day dedicated largely to debate of the Cons’ anti-refugee bill. The Big IssueAs might be expected after several days of debate, the Cons’ single set of poorly-reasoned talking points was beginning to get stale. And Kevin L… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Parliament In Review: October 3, 2011
Nixon and Kissinger: Benign NeglectHenry Kissinger firmly believed that his understanding of Realpolitik reflected the realism of a handful of famous statesmen of bygone decades.Bismarkian in his aloofness, Metternichean in his pronouncements, Kissinge… . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Is this NDP leader Nycole Turmel’s "Kissinger Moment"?
Liberals need to support liberals, across divisions in government and separation by geography. The silo-ing of liberalism has been one of the worst trends in the last quarter century, where people focus on being one type of liberal rather than another … . . . → Read More: CalgaryLiberal: Liberals need to support liberals
The answer is Yes if pollster Allan Gregg’sspeculations are right. The NDP has 33% – tied with the Tories:Jack Layton’s untimely death has triggered another orange wave across the country, a new poll suggests.The Harris/Decima survey conducted for The … . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Did Canada’s "Arab Spring" start in Quebec on May 2?
This and that for your Tuesday reading. – Chantal Hebert offers up the definitive response to the Cons, Libs and media outlets still going out of their way to attack the NDP for winning support in Quebec: Given the context, to retroactively portray La… . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Tuesday Morning Links