Categories

A sample text widget

Etiam pulvinar consectetur dolor sed malesuada. Ut convallis euismod dolor nec pretium. Nunc ut tristique massa.

Nam sodales mi vitae dolor ullamcorper et vulputate enim accumsan. Morbi orci magna, tincidunt vitae molestie nec, molestie at mi. Nulla nulla lorem, suscipit in posuere in, interdum non magna.

Accidental Deliberations: Tuesday Morning Links

This and that for your Tuesday reading.

– Yesterday’s Alberta election certainly proved somewhat of a shocker – producing about the best possible result short of a minority scenario that would have allowed the NDP to exercise the balance of power, as the slightly-less-right party won even as its most notorious ideologue went down in . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Tuesday Morning Links

Accidental Deliberations: Sunday Evening Links

Assorted content to end your weekend.

– Brian Mason makes the closing argument for Alberta’s NDP in tomorrow’s provincial election:

– Meanwhile in Ontario, Keith Leslie reports that the McGuinty Libs are still dragging their heels on Andrea Horwath’s entirely reasonable set of budget requests. But while Martin Regg Cohn calls on them to . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Sunday Evening Links

Blunt Objects: Alberta Preview

Monday night, Albertans go to the polls to elect who will lead the province for the next 4 years. There are a few things to keep an eye on, I’ll start at the bottom and work up to the top.

Alberta PartyThe new Alberta Party is running nearly a full slate in Edmonton. What is . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Alberta Preview

Blunt Objects: Redford Back in the Game? #AbVote Poll – 35.5% Wildrose, 34.2% PC

It wasn’t even a week between the days the poll were conducted, but Leger Marketing’s poll of Albertan voting intentions this week shows a crazy drop for the Wildrosers from last week. I didn’t cover that poll (though I added it to my main projection), but I’ll include the differences anyways.

Leger Marketing:Prog Cons: 34.2% . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Redford Back in the Game? #AbVote Poll – 35.5% Wildrose, 34.2% PC

Blunt Objects: Campaign Res. #AbVote Poll: 17.1-point Wildrose Lead

It’s not up through my usual sources but Globe and Mail mentioned it, and it originated on Stephen Taylor’s website. Apparently, the Conservative-backed pollster releases their polls through a Conservative-backed blogger. Surprise.

But, in fairness to Campaign Research, of Cotler-call fame, their numbers are within the norms. I still don’t trust them but until I . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Campaign Res. #AbVote Poll: 17.1-point Wildrose Lead

Blunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta Pt 4.

Another quick map from Teddy. This is a possible end result of the election. Note it is not a projection or a prediction, just an example of a Wildrose government.

Blunt Objects: Think HQ #AbVote Poll – 43% Wildrose, 30% PC

This Think HQ poll is now the fourth poll in a row to show the Wildrosers moving far ahead of the PCs, with a 13-point lead over Premier Redford’s Progressive Conservatives. Below are the changes in popular vote and seats from their last poll:

ThinkHQ Poll: Wildrose: 43% (+10) – 61 seats (+31) Prog Cons: . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Think HQ #AbVote Poll – 43% Wildrose, 30% PC

Blunt Objects: Abacus Data Poll #AbVote – 41% WRP, 28% PC

This Abacus poll makes it the fourth poll since Ipsos Reid’s 38-38 tie to produce some major momentum for the Wildrosers by placing them ahead of the PCs, and sixth overall to produce some momentum for the Wildrosers.

That means one thing: trend (basically) confirmed. The Wildrosers are on their way to either tying or . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Abacus Data Poll #AbVote – 41% WRP, 28% PC

Blunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta – Pt 3

Teddy here. I’ve run our official Blunt Objects projection though an updated map, and made a few personal adjustments where I feel the numbers might not be telling the full story.

Blunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta – Pt 2

Teddy here. A quick projection using the old riding map.

Blunt Objects: Campaign Research #AbVote Poll: 39.6% WRP, 30.3% PC

!CAUTION! 

Campaign Research is the firm behind the calls to Cotler’s riding last year, and is a known pro-Conservative (small c or big C) outfit, so take the next poll at face value.

Campaign Research:WRP: 39.6% – 56 seatsPC: 30.3% – 24 seatsNDP: 11.6% – 6 seats Lib: 13.0%

Despite CR’s reputation, this poll follows . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Campaign Research #AbVote Poll: 39.6% WRP, 30.3% PC

Blunt Objects: Visualizing Alberta

A quick graphic by Teddy

Blunt Objects: ThinkHQ #AbVote Poll: 36% PC, 33% Wildrose

Another pollster has put out this week showing another close race as compared to the trend from earlier this month and before, with the Wildrosers clearly benefitting.

PC – 36% – 48 seats WRP – 33% – 30 seats NDP – 13% – 7 seats

Lib – 13% – 2 seats Alberta – 2%

This . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: ThinkHQ #AbVote Poll: 36% PC, 33% Wildrose