This and that for your Tuesday reading.
– Yesterday’s Alberta election certainly proved somewhat of a shocker – producing about the best possible result short of a minority scenario that would have allowed the NDP to exercise the balance of power, as the slightly-less-right party won even as its most notorious ideologue went down in . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Tuesday Morning Links
Assorted content to end your weekend.
– Brian Mason makes the closing argument for Alberta’s NDP in tomorrow’s provincial election:
– Meanwhile in Ontario, Keith Leslie reports that the McGuinty Libs are still dragging their heels on Andrea Horwath’s entirely reasonable set of budget requests. But while Martin Regg Cohn calls on them to . . . → Read More: Accidental Deliberations: Sunday Evening Links
Monday night, Albertans go to the polls to elect who will lead the province for the next 4 years. There are a few things to keep an eye on, I’ll start at the bottom and work up to the top.
Alberta PartyThe new Alberta Party is running nearly a full slate in Edmonton. What is . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Alberta Preview
It wasn’t even a week between the days the poll were conducted, but Leger Marketing’s poll of Albertan voting intentions this week shows a crazy drop for the Wildrosers from last week. I didn’t cover that poll (though I added it to my main projection), but I’ll include the differences anyways.
Leger Marketing:Prog Cons: 34.2% . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Redford Back in the Game? #AbVote Poll – 35.5% Wildrose, 34.2% PC
It’s not up through my usual sources but Globe and Mail mentioned it, and it originated on Stephen Taylor’s website. Apparently, the Conservative-backed pollster releases their polls through a Conservative-backed blogger. Surprise.
But, in fairness to Campaign Research, of Cotler-call fame, their numbers are within the norms. I still don’t trust them but until I . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Campaign Res. #AbVote Poll: 17.1-point Wildrose Lead
Another quick map from Teddy. This is a possible end result of the election. Note it is not a projection or a prediction, just an example of a Wildrose government.
This Think HQ poll is now the fourth poll in a row to show the Wildrosers moving far ahead of the PCs, with a 13-point lead over Premier Redford’s Progressive Conservatives. Below are the changes in popular vote and seats from their last poll:
ThinkHQ Poll: Wildrose: 43% (+10) – 61 seats (+31) Prog Cons: . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Think HQ #AbVote Poll – 43% Wildrose, 30% PC
This Abacus poll makes it the fourth poll since Ipsos Reid’s 38-38 tie to produce some major momentum for the Wildrosers by placing them ahead of the PCs, and sixth overall to produce some momentum for the Wildrosers.
That means one thing: trend (basically) confirmed. The Wildrosers are on their way to either tying or . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Abacus Data Poll #AbVote – 41% WRP, 28% PC
Teddy here. I’ve run our official Blunt Objects projection though an updated map, and made a few personal adjustments where I feel the numbers might not be telling the full story.
Teddy here. A quick projection using the old riding map.
Campaign Research is the firm behind the calls to Cotler’s riding last year, and is a known pro-Conservative (small c or big C) outfit, so take the next poll at face value.
Campaign Research:WRP: 39.6% – 56 seatsPC: 30.3% – 24 seatsNDP: 11.6% – 6 seats Lib: 13.0%
Despite CR’s reputation, this poll follows . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: Campaign Research #AbVote Poll: 39.6% WRP, 30.3% PC
Another pollster has put out this week showing another close race as compared to the trend from earlier this month and before, with the Wildrosers clearly benefitting.
PC – 36% – 48 seats WRP – 33% – 30 seats NDP – 13% – 7 seats
Lib – 13% – 2 seats Alberta – 2%
This . . . → Read More: Blunt Objects: ThinkHQ #AbVote Poll: 36% PC, 33% Wildrose