Andre Turcotte – the Curves Tracker
Sometimes a picture is really worth a thousand words, much to the consternation of the conservatives huddled in Ottawa for the annual Manning Centre rightwing navel-gazing gathering. Pollster Turcotte presented a series of graphs showing what a poll of a thousand Canadians today think about the (Read more…) . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Election 2015: The Crossing of the Curves
The latest Angus Reid poll highlights the Achilles heel of Prime Minister Stephen Harper: Most Canadians do not trust him to protect our elections, as Susan Delacourt points out. This is a stark finding of the Angus Reid poll: The views of an increasingly larger number of Canadians have hardened about Harper’s likeability, trustworthiness, and fitness to lead the country. And this swift, dark and deadly undercurrent is what will ensure that this is his last term as prime minister of Canada. . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Stephen Harper’s Achilles heel: Trust
At the Montreal convention, the Liberal Party overwhelmingly agreed to Priority Resolution 31, Restoring Trust in Canada’s Democracy. An important part of that resolution is this: AND BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED THAT immediately after the next election, an all-Party process be instituted, involving expert assistance and citizen participation, to report to Parliament within 12 months with recommendations for electoral reforms including, without limitation, a preferential ballot and/or a form of proportional representation, to represent Canadians more fairly and serve Canada better. Electoral reform has a bad record of success in Canada, with several referenda for modernizing our antiquated and undemocratic (Read more…)
In my view, the single most important policy resolution at this week’s convention in Montreal is the prioritized number 31, which should significantly reduce our democratic deficits. That resolutionreads: 31. Priority Resolution: Restoring Trust in Canada’s Democracy* BE IT RESOLVED THAT the Liberal Party pursue political reforms which promote: Open, democratic nominations of candidates; Fewer “whipped” votes in Parliament and more “free” votes requiring individual MPs to assume full responsibility for their decisions; Stronger Parliamentary control over public finances, including an annual deadline for the budget; accounting consistency among the Estimates and the Public Accounts; more clarity in voting (Read more…)
Dr. Clotiere Rapaille
Within 18 months of so Canadians will elect a new prime minister and a new government. Of the three contenders for the top job – Stephen Harper, Thomas Mulcair and Justin Trudeau – which one offers Canadians a leader best in tune with what Canadians really, really want in their leader, deep down in the innermost recesses of their hearts?
Because if you are a leader offering them something else, that does not fit that deepest desire, you will not be the next prime minister. So what do Canadians want in their prime minister? Dr Clotaire Rapaille (Read more…)
Two of these men could be PM in the next 18 months
Thomas Mulcair says he and his NDP have learned from the disasterous provincial NDP election: “It’s not enough to look at the electorate and say, ‘vote for me, I m good.’ You have to say, ‘vote for me, I’m a good person to replace the party that’s there, and the government has to be replaced for the following reasons.’ “And I don’t think they did a good enough job of defining what those reasons were.” Mulcair, who keeps a scuffed-up hardball on a table behind (Read more…)
George S. Patton
I expect the Throne Speech in late January 2014 to be the timing for Prime Minister Stephen Harper to dissolve Parliament and call for an election in the spring of 2014, rather than wait for the legislated October 2015 date. The Liberal Party under Justin Trudeau are targeting a spring election a year later: “We’re building a (campaign) approach that’s very much flexible. I think one of the aims we’re working at is spring of 2015,” he said, noting that Harper has ignored his own law in the past. Paul Wells in his Macleans article, (Read more…) . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Why Stephen Harper will call an early election in spring 2014
1) The various CPC scandals…. 2) The issue that, if the Grits are smart, will win them a majority: stopping the phasing out of home mail delivery No wonder Harper wanted the House to rise early. Justin should send him a note of thanks for this ready-made election platform plank! (1) Trashy, Ottawa, Ontario
Methinks John Ivison has hit the nail right on its head with this:
If the Auditor-General’s report does suggest a systemic problem of corruption and abuse, who would bet against the Conservatives using the Senate as a classic wedge issue, pointing out that the Liberals are in favour of preserving the country’s most expensive eventide home as is.
One approach could (Read more…)
. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: 2015: The ballot question in Canada’s next election?
Three stewards a-waiting …
The latest IPSOS-Reid poll shows that the Harper new Tories maintain their lead amongst voters when it comes to the critical issue of who is the best choice to manage the country’s economy. Voters believe that Harper and his Conservatives are the best by a whopping margin:
But the Conservatives continue to lead the way on economic issues. Among voters who said the economy is the most important issue, 45 per cent believe the Conservatives are the best economic policy managers, followed by 28 per cent who chose the Liberals and 14 per cent who chose the (Read more…) . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Management of Economy is Achilles Heel of Liberals and Dippers
Consider for a moment two facts.
One, the NDP is sinking in the polls, with the tide that started ebbing with Layton’s passing still receding from the distant shoreline of possible government. And two, the old saying that the definition of insanity is to keep doing the same thing, hoping for a different result. With Trudeau Junior at the helm of the Liberal Party of Canada, the polls have shown a slight decrease in support for Stephen Harper’s new Tories, a big uptick in Liberal fortunes, and a steady decline in those favouring the Dippers. That’s the background. And (Read more…)
A pocketful of votes
Dion gave an interesting talk at Joyce Murray’s meeting in Vancouver this morning, dealing with the different kinds of electoral reform that we could adopt. One new idea that he dropped on the table is interesting, and, I believe, novel: that our MPs votes in Parliament be counted in an entirely different way than they are now. In the past Dion has proposed his P3 variant of proportional representation, which might work well. His new idea is intriguing: let our MPs take a pocketful of votes to Parliament. It works this way. We use his (Read more…)
Kinder Morgan pipeline expansion in BC
I think Gordon Gibson’s take in the Globe & Mail on the vote-shifting caused by the position-shifting of Dix in the last week of the campaign is the most plausible explanation of why the polls were so different from the actual results:
The NDP looked way ahead before voters went to the polls in British Columbia. Then it all changed. Why? One word: “Pipelines.” Or more precisely, two: “Kinder Morgan.”
Until two weeks ago it was the election of the NDP’s Adrian Dix to lose.
Then he got greedy. Worried (Read more…)
400 parts per million …
Those Albertans who have voted for Harper’s Conservatives in election after election must be starting to wonder whether Stephen Harper and his Cabinet are the best choice for their main industry: oil. They should start to worry, because the Harper Tories are displaying yet again their incompetence when it comes to the really important issues facing Canada. They are fine for scurrying around, giving out little slices of taxpayers’ money to selected micromarkets, but when it comes to the really important things, they are sadly wanting.
The Meltdown Debacle Take the financial meltdown of 2007-2008.
(Read more…) . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: The Harper Government lacks a strategic vision for Canada’s oil industry
I am in complete and utter shock and sadness at the news that Justin Trudeau will become the third Liberal Party leader in a row defined by the formidable Reform-Conservative attack ad machine. This means that Stephen Harper has just won the 2015 election campaign.
I can not believe that this decision could be taken. Those who do not learn from their mistakes are bound to repeat them and we all have a front row seat to the obliteration of another leader’s brand. This will be very painful indeed.
The debate is gathering steam, and Andrew Coyne has posed several questions which every candidate for leadership of the Liberal Party of Canada (and particularly Justin Trudeau, whose father modernized the Canadian democracy almost beyond compare with his priceless gift of the Charter of Rights and Freedoms): Fundamentally, it comes down to this: are the opposition parties serious? Do they really want to beat the Conservatives, or just talk about it? Are they serious about electoral reform, or is it, too, just a talking point? And assuming they mean either, do they realize how crucially each depends on the other? Let me put it plainly: They aren’t going to beat the Conservatives until they change the electoral system. They aren’t going to change the electoral system until they beat the Conservatives. And they aren’t going to do either until they find some way to cooperate.
Justin Trudeau: . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau, read Andrew Coyne if you are a bold, serious leader
Joyce Murray – Progressive Reformer
MP Murray’s position on pre-election cooperation between the Liberal, NDP, Green and Blog parties in order to remove Harper’s right wing government from power, and her commitment to serious electoral reform, bears repeating in full:
Our principal challenge is to give Canada the 21st century electoral system it deserves.
• One that will be responsive to the urgent and long term issues facing the country.• One that will produce rational and thoughtful debate.• One that will encourage the input of diverse perspectives.• One that will enable the best progressive policies to
. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Liberal Leadership Race: Joyce Murray’s Electoral Reforms Promise
Harper Firewall Blinkers
The Harper new Tories keep plugging the line that Harper’s government is a sound manager of Canada’s economy, and is doing all the right things all the time, hoping that constant repetition will persuade Canadian voters to believe this mantra. Unfortunately for Canada, the Harper government is locked into its ideological blinders, which in essence have engraved on the left blinder the phrase ‘Big government bad’ and on the left blinder ‘Small government good’. This wilful blindness has prevented the Harper government from even thinking of acting strategically in the interests of Canada.
Instead, Harper has . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Stephen Harper’s Oil Industry Mismanagement costing Canada dearly
Andrew CoyneAt last we have some candidates for leadership of the Liberal Party who – unlike Justin Trudeau – are prepared to deal with the reality of Canadian politics: our democratic deficit. And journalist Coyne does us all a favour by dis… . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Andrew Coyne gives a good reason for choosing Joyce Murray as Liberal Party leader
Justin Trudeau – The Healer?
The good news for Justin Trudeau and the Liberals just keeps pouring in, with the latest Decima poll showing that the Trudeau name is poison in Quebec is a myth:
The latest Canadian Press Harris-Decima survey released Friday says 36 per cent of those who took part in the
. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau: Latest poll debunks Quebec myth about Trudeaus
Justin Trudeau does not believe in tic-tac-toe (noughts and crosses to some of us) politics:
As for Stephen Harper’s policies now, Mr. Trudeau says they are dividing the country, as are NDP Leader Thomas Mulcair’s.
“Mr. Harper put an X over Quebec and is anchoring himself in the West. Mr. Mulcair has recently put an X over Alberta and is pandering for votes in Quebec and Ontario,” Mr. Trudeau said. “That is not the right solution no matter how successful you are at being elected.”
Under “my watch,” he said, “you will not hear a Liberal … saying one
. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau and tic-tac-toe politics
A Forum poll taken this past weekend (before Trudeau confirmed he is running for leadership of the Liberal Party), shows a huge shift in votes in Toronto, the major city of battleground Ontario: Toronto 2015 ridings
With Trudeau as their leader, the Liberals would claim 40 per cent of the vote in Toronto if an election were held today, thanks to a surge in support from backers of the NDP, according to a Forum Research poll released first to CP24 on Monday. The lion’s share of the votes for a Trudeau-led Liberal Party of Canada would come from current NDP . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau: Will Toronto go Liberal? Poll says Yes
Lawrence Martin in today’s Globe & Mail raises a very important question about what Justin Trudeau might do to change the system:
Idealism is the currency of the young and, if Justin Trudeau is to succeed and the Liberal Party to have new life, a new sense of it is essential. His appeal should be one of broad scope.
It should be nothing less than an appeal to “change the system.” Lawrence Martin: Change the system, Justin
The young are so turned off by how Ottawa operates that only a sweeping reform will suffice. Pierre Trudeau’s vision for
. . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Justin Trudeau: A Political Tinkerer or a man with a Bold Vision for Canada?
The Conservatives have maintained their muscular advantage over both major competitors in fundraising in 2011: The Liberals raised $10,119,908.62 from 49,650 donors last year, according to their annual financial return. The NDP raised $7,427,060.63 from 37,778 donors, according to the party’s annual return which was filed late with Elections Canada…
The Conservatives, meanwhile, out-fundraised all parties, which it has consistently been doing for the past five years. According the party’s annual return, the Conservatives raised a record $22.7-million in 2011, from 110,267 donors. The Donor Pools: The key lies in the number of donors, and the . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: Conservative Party machine still dominates the Canadian political space
Ask anybody about Pierre Trudeau’s major contributions to Canadian politics, and you will find many who will point to the repatriation of the constitution, and the enshrinement in our new constitution of our now world-famous Charter of Rights & Freedoms. That Charter has resounded throughout the world, and is used as a template wherever people gather to draft democratic reforms for other countries. Like father, like son?
It defined in unmistakable terms the red line where the rights of the Canadian state ended and the rights and freedoms of Canadians began. And it has been even more significant in that . . . → Read More: CuriosityCat: How Justin Trudeau can leave a legacy as great as his father did